Official forecasts from Environment and Climate Change Canada indicate a mainly sunny day on August 21 with a daytime high near 25–26°C under light winds and limited cloud cover, consistent with short-range model guidance. This aligns with Toronto’s mid-August climatology, where average highs hover around 24–26°C, and supports the market’s strong emphasis on 25°C (57%) and 26°C (26%). Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no significant frontal passages or convective cooling expected to suppress the maximum. Traders are weighting official observations and ensemble consensus heavily, as these deterministic sources have historically resolved such narrow temperature markets with high accuracy.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月21日のトロントの最高気温は?
25°C 56%
26°C 26%
24°C 12%
27°C 4%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
12%
25°C
56%
26°C
26%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 56%
26°C 26%
24°C 12%
27°C 4%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
12%
25°C
56%
26°C
26%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 19, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from Environment and Climate Change Canada indicate a mainly sunny day on August 21 with a daytime high near 25–26°C under light winds and limited cloud cover, consistent with short-range model guidance. This aligns with Toronto’s mid-August climatology, where average highs hover around 24–26°C, and supports the market’s strong emphasis on 25°C (57%) and 26°C (26%). Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no significant frontal passages or convective cooling expected to suppress the maximum. Traders are weighting official observations and ensemble consensus heavily, as these deterministic sources have historically resolved such narrow temperature markets with high accuracy.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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