Sandro Parcaroli, the center-right incumbent mayor backed by a coalition including Fratelli d’Italia, Lega, and Forza Italia, enters the June 7-8 runoff as the clear favorite after securing nearly 50 percent in the May 24-25 first round. His performance left limited room for Gianluca Tittarelli of the center-left coalition to consolidate support from the remaining fragmented candidates. Traders assign Parcaroli an overwhelming implied probability consistent with this structural edge in a head-to-head contest. Turnout patterns and any late shifts among undecided voters remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin, though historical runoff dynamics in similar Italian municipal races favor the first-round leader.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$17,072 Vol.
$17,072 Vol.
2026/06/08
Gianluca Tittarelli
No
Sandro Parcaroli
Yes
$17,072 Vol.
$17,072 Vol.
2026/06/08
Gianluca Tittarelli
$4,779 Vol.
No
Sandro Parcaroli
$12,293 Vol.
Yes
The 2026 Macerata, Italy mayoral runoff election is currently scheduled to be held on June 7 and 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Macerata as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Macerata.Sandro Parcaroli, the center-right incumbent mayor backed by a coalition including Fratelli d’Italia, Lega, and Forza Italia, enters the June 7-8 runoff as the clear favorite after securing nearly 50 percent in the May 24-25 first round. His performance left limited room for Gianluca Tittarelli of the center-left coalition to consolidate support from the remaining fragmented candidates. Traders assign Parcaroli an overwhelming implied probability consistent with this structural edge in a head-to-head contest. Turnout patterns and any late shifts among undecided voters remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin, though historical runoff dynamics in similar Italian municipal races favor the first-round leader.
The 2026 Macerata, Italy mayoral runoff election is currently scheduled to be held on June 7 and 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Macerata as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Macerata.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Macerata as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Macerata.
マーケット開始日： Jun 1, 2026, 5:38 PM ET
音量
$17,072終了日
2026/06/08マーケット開始日
Jun 1, 2026, 5:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
The 2026 Macerata, Italy mayoral runoff election is currently scheduled to be held on June 7 and 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Macerata as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Macerata.Sandro Parcaroli, the center-right incumbent mayor backed by a coalition including Fratelli d’Italia, Lega, and Forza Italia, enters the June 7-8 runoff as the clear favorite after securing nearly 50 percent in the May 24-25 first round. His performance left limited room for Gianluca Tittarelli of the center-left coalition to consolidate support from the remaining fragmented candidates. Traders assign Parcaroli an overwhelming implied probability consistent with this structural edge in a head-to-head contest. Turnout patterns and any late shifts among undecided voters remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin, though historical runoff dynamics in similar Italian municipal races favor the first-round leader.
The 2026 Macerata, Italy mayoral runoff election is currently scheduled to be held on June 7 and 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Macerata as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Macerata.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Macerata as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Macerata.
音量
$17,072終了日
2026/06/08マーケット開始日
Jun 1, 2026, 5:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
Sandro Parcaroli, the center-right incumbent mayor backed by a coalition including Fratelli d’Italia, Lega, and Forza Italia, enters the June 7-8 runoff as the clear favorite after securing nearly 50 percent in the May 24-25 first round. His performance left limited room for Gianluca Tittarelli of the center-left coalition to consolidate support from the remaining fragmented candidates. Traders assign Parcaroli an overwhelming implied probability consistent with this structural edge in a head-to-head contest. Turnout patterns and any late shifts among undecided voters remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin, though historical runoff dynamics in similar Italian municipal races favor the first-round leader.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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