Strong presales and upbeat tracking have propelled trader consensus toward a >$80M domestic opening for Lionsgate's Michael Jackson biopic Michael, with 62.5% implied probability, outpacing bins like 75-80M at 14.5%. Recent Deadline projections on April 2 pegged a record musical biopic debut north of $60M—surpassing Bohemian Rhapsody's $51M—fueled by massive trailer views (Lionsgate's biggest ever), positive exhibitor reactions, and first-choice interest ahead of comps like Elvis and Oppenheimer. The April 10 Berlin premiere generated early buzz praising Jaafar Jackson's lead performance, while family endorsements counter negative press amid the $155-170M budget. Reviews and April 22 fan screenings loom as key catalysts before the April 24 bow, with controversy posing upset risk in a crowded late-spring frame.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日「マイケル」オープニングウィークエンド・ボックスオフィス
「マイケル」オープニングウィークエンド・ボックスオフィス
8,000万ドル超 63%
7500万〜8000万ドル 21%
70～75百万ドル 10%
6,500万～7,000万ドル 6.7%
$10,446 Vol.
$10,446 Vol.
2026/04/27
6,000万ドル未満
2%
6000万〜6500万
3%
6,500万～7,000万ドル
7%
70～75百万ドル
10%
7500万〜8000万ドル
15%
8,000万ドル超
63%
8,000万ドル超 63%
7500万〜8000万ドル 21%
70～75百万ドル 10%
6,500万～7,000万ドル 6.7%
$10,446 Vol.
$10,446 Vol.
2026/04/27
6,000万ドル未満
$2,887 Vol.
2%
6000万〜6500万
$1,746 Vol.
3%
6,500万～7,000万ドル
$344 Vol.
7%
70～75百万ドル
$500 Vol.
10%
7500万〜8000万ドル
$404 Vol.
15%
8,000万ドル超
$6,732 Vol.
63%
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 24 - April 26) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong presales and upbeat tracking have propelled trader consensus toward a >$80M domestic opening for Lionsgate's Michael Jackson biopic Michael, with 62.5% implied probability, outpacing bins like 75-80M at 14.5%. Recent Deadline projections on April 2 pegged a record musical biopic debut north of $60M—surpassing Bohemian Rhapsody's $51M—fueled by massive trailer views (Lionsgate's biggest ever), positive exhibitor reactions, and first-choice interest ahead of comps like Elvis and Oppenheimer. The April 10 Berlin premiere generated early buzz praising Jaafar Jackson's lead performance, while family endorsements counter negative press amid the $155-170M budget. Reviews and April 22 fan screenings loom as key catalysts before the April 24 bow, with controversy posing upset risk in a crowded late-spring frame.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 24 - April 26) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Apr 9, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
音量
$10,446終了日
2026/04/27マーケット開始日
Apr 9, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 24 - April 26) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong presales and upbeat tracking have propelled trader consensus toward a >$80M domestic opening for Lionsgate's Michael Jackson biopic Michael, with 62.5% implied probability, outpacing bins like 75-80M at 14.5%. Recent Deadline projections on April 2 pegged a record musical biopic debut north of $60M—surpassing Bohemian Rhapsody's $51M—fueled by massive trailer views (Lionsgate's biggest ever), positive exhibitor reactions, and first-choice interest ahead of comps like Elvis and Oppenheimer. The April 10 Berlin premiere generated early buzz praising Jaafar Jackson's lead performance, while family endorsements counter negative press amid the $155-170M budget. Reviews and April 22 fan screenings loom as key catalysts before the April 24 bow, with controversy posing upset risk in a crowded late-spring frame.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 24 - April 26) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$10,446終了日
2026/04/27マーケット開始日
Apr 9, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong presales and upbeat tracking have propelled trader consensus toward a >$80M domestic opening for Lionsgate's Michael Jackson biopic Michael, with 62.5% implied probability, outpacing bins like 75-80M at 14.5%. Recent Deadline projections on April 2 pegged a record musical biopic debut north of $60M—surpassing Bohemian Rhapsody's $51M—fueled by massive trailer views (Lionsgate's biggest ever), positive exhibitor reactions, and first-choice interest ahead of comps like Elvis and Oppenheimer. The April 10 Berlin premiere generated early buzz praising Jaafar Jackson's lead performance, while family endorsements counter negative press amid the $155-170M budget. Reviews and April 22 fan screenings loom as key catalysts before the April 24 bow, with controversy posing upset risk in a crowded late-spring frame.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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