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icon for ネタニヤフは... ？
地政学·中東

ネタニヤフは... ？

icon for ネタニヤフは... ？
地政学·中東

ネタニヤフは... ？

1月 1, 2027

1月 1, 2027

$124,402,671 Vol.

2026/12/31
3.25%を獲得
Polymarket

$124,402,671 Vol.

Polymarket

12月31日

$2,549,102 Vol.

51%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The October 27, 2026 Knesset election serves as the central driver for market views on Netanyahu’s tenure, functioning as a referendum on his handling of the Gaza, Lebanon, and Iran conflicts alongside longstanding corruption proceedings. Recent polling shows Likud trailing Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party and Netanyahu’s broader bloc short of the 61 seats needed for a majority coalition, though historical patterns of coalition realignments and his stated intent to remain Likud leader even in opposition introduce uncertainty. Netanyahu’s upcoming UN General Assembly address and ongoing campaign efforts to consolidate right-wing support further inform trader assessments of near-term continuity versus potential post-election transitions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$124,402,671
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x157Ce2d67...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The October 27, 2026 Knesset election serves as the central driver for market views on Netanyahu’s tenure, functioning as a referendum on his handling of the Gaza, Lebanon, and Iran conflicts alongside longstanding corruption proceedings. Recent polling shows Likud trailing Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party and Netanyahu’s broader bloc short of the 61 seats needed for a majority coalition, though historical patterns of coalition realignments and his stated intent to remain Likud leader even in opposition introduce uncertainty. Netanyahu’s upcoming UN General Assembly address and ongoing campaign efforts to consolidate right-wing support further inform trader assessments of near-term continuity versus potential post-election transitions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$124,402,671
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x157Ce2d67...

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外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ネタニヤフは... ？」はPolymarket上の6個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「12月31日」で51%、次いで「3月31日」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、51¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に51%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ネタニヤフは... ？」は$124.4 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Jul 24, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ネタニヤフは... ？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている6個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ネタニヤフは... ？」の現在のフロントランナーは「12月31日」で51%であり、市場がこの結果に51%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「3月31日」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ネタニヤフは... ？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。