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icon for スペイン首相サンチェスへの不信任投票は... ?

スペイン首相サンチェスへの不信任投票は... ?

icon for スペイン首相サンチェスへの不信任投票は... ?

スペイン首相サンチェスへの不信任投票は... ?

$18,257 Vol.

2026/12/31
Polymarket

$18,257 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for 12月31日

12月31日

$3,890 Vol.

19%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain’s minority government under Pedro Sánchez faces sustained parliamentary weakness after Catalan party Junts withdrew legislative support in late 2025, leaving the PSOE-led coalition without a reliable majority and forcing reliance on repeated budget extensions. A June 2026 non-binding congressional resolution, backed by PP, Vox, and Junts, urged Sánchez to resign amid multiple corruption investigations and convictions involving former ministers and allies, while calling on him to submit to a confidence vote; the measure carried symbolic weight but imposed no obligation. Opposition parties have so far declined to file a formal moción de censura, citing insufficient votes for passage, while Sánchez has reaffirmed his intent to govern through 2027. Key near-term catalysts include fall budget negotiations, ongoing Ceuta migration strains, and any shifts in regional or nationalist alliances that could alter the arithmetic for a censure motion.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$18,257
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Jun 30, 2026, 3:44 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain’s minority government under Pedro Sánchez faces sustained parliamentary weakness after Catalan party Junts withdrew legislative support in late 2025, leaving the PSOE-led coalition without a reliable majority and forcing reliance on repeated budget extensions. A June 2026 non-binding congressional resolution, backed by PP, Vox, and Junts, urged Sánchez to resign amid multiple corruption investigations and convictions involving former ministers and allies, while calling on him to submit to a confidence vote; the measure carried symbolic weight but imposed no obligation. Opposition parties have so far declined to file a formal moción de censura, citing insufficient votes for passage, while Sánchez has reaffirmed his intent to govern through 2027. Key near-term catalysts include fall budget negotiations, ongoing Ceuta migration strains, and any shifts in regional or nationalist alliances that could alter the arithmetic for a censure motion.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$18,257
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Jun 30, 2026, 3:44 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「スペイン首相サンチェスへの不信任投票は... ?」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「12月31日」で19%、次いで「6月30日」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、19¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に19%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「スペイン首相サンチェスへの不信任投票は... ?」は$18.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています(May 21, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「スペイン首相サンチェスへの不信任投票は... ?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「スペイン首相サンチェスへの不信任投票は... ?」の現在のフロントランナーは「12月31日」で19%であり、市場がこの結果に19%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「6月30日」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「スペイン首相サンチェスへの不信任投票は... ?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。