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選挙·報酬20、4.5、50

Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner

Market icon
選挙·報酬20、4.5、50

Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner

Doly Begum 98.3%

Lyall Sanders 1.2%

Pooja Malhotra 1.1%

April Francisco 1.1%

Polymarket
新規

Doly Begum 98.3%

Lyall Sanders 1.2%

Pooja Malhotra 1.1%

April Francisco 1.1%

Polymarket
新規
Market icon

Doly Begum

$285 Vol.

98%

Market icon

Lyall Sanders

$41 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Pooja Malhotra

$41 Vol.

1%

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April Francisco

$41 Vol.

1%

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David Vedova

$42 Vol.

1%

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Diana Filipova

$41 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Peter Koubakis

$57 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Fatima Shaban

$43 Vol.

1%

A by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Scarborough Southwest, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).Liberal candidate Doly Begum commands 98% trader consensus in the Scarborough Southwest federal by-election set for April 13, fueled by the riding's historical Liberal stronghold—61% in the 2025 general election—and her incumbency-like profile as the outgoing NDP provincial MPP who resigned her seat to run federally. A March Mainstreet poll showed Liberals leading decisively, reinforced by Prime Minister Mark Carney's endorsement on April 3 and a candidate debate on April 2 highlighting local issues like housing without notable gaffes. Advance polls opened April 3 amid steady campaigning. While entrenched advantages make an upset improbable, a late scandal over her party switch, depressed Liberal turnout, or Conservative momentum for Diana Filipova could theoretically shift odds in this first-past-the-post riding.

A by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Scarborough Southwest, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada.

If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
音量
$590
終了日
2026/04/13
マーケット開始日
Apr 3, 2026, 7:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Scarborough Southwest, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
A by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Scarborough Southwest, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).Liberal candidate Doly Begum commands 98% trader consensus in the Scarborough Southwest federal by-election set for April 13, fueled by the riding's historical Liberal stronghold—61% in the 2025 general election—and her incumbency-like profile as the outgoing NDP provincial MPP who resigned her seat to run federally. A March Mainstreet poll showed Liberals leading decisively, reinforced by Prime Minister Mark Carney's endorsement on April 3 and a candidate debate on April 2 highlighting local issues like housing without notable gaffes. Advance polls opened April 3 amid steady campaigning. While entrenched advantages make an upset improbable, a late scandal over her party switch, depressed Liberal turnout, or Conservative momentum for Diana Filipova could theoretically shift odds in this first-past-the-post riding.

A by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Scarborough Southwest, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada.

If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
音量
$590
終了日
2026/04/13
マーケット開始日
Apr 3, 2026, 7:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Scarborough Southwest, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner」はPolymarket上の8個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Doly Begum」で98%、次いで「Lyall Sanders」が1%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、98¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に98%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Apr 3, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner」で取引するには、このページに記載されている8個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner」の現在のフロントランナーは「Doly Begum」で98%であり、市場がこの結果に98%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Lyall Sanders」で1%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。