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選挙·カナダ

University—Rosedale By-Election Winner

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選挙·カナダ

University—Rosedale By-Election Winner

Danielle Martin 96%

Bill Whatcott 2.3%

Andy D’Andrea 2.2%

Leslie Bory 2.2%

Polymarket
新規

Danielle Martin 96%

Bill Whatcott 2.3%

Andy D’Andrea 2.2%

Leslie Bory 2.2%

Polymarket
新規
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Danielle Martin

$74 Vol.

96%

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Bill Whatcott

$27 Vol.

2%

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Andy D’Andrea

$27 Vol.

2%

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Leslie Bory

$27 Vol.

2%

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Andrew Massey

$27 Vol.

2%

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Don Hodgson

$27 Vol.

2%

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Imran Khan

$27 Vol.

2%

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Serena Purdy

$27 Vol.

2%

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Samuel Baxter

$27 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Raiden DeDominicis

$27 Vol.

2%

A by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the University—Rosedale, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).Danielle Martin holds a commanding 96% trader consensus as the Liberal frontrunner in the University—Rosedale federal by-election set for April 13, driven by the riding's entrenched Liberal dominance—Chrystia Freeland captured 64% there in the 2025 general election—and Martin's profile as a University of Toronto family medicine chair and health care advocate. Advance polls opened April 3 amid active Liberal door-knocking by MPs, underscoring organizational strength in this urban Toronto district. Fragmented opposition, including Conservative Don Hodgson (23% in 2025) and NDP's Serena Purdy (10%), lacks momentum per historical base rates in low-turnout by-elections. Realistic challenges include a late scandal, national backlash boosting Conservatives, or surge turnout tilting against the government, though structural advantages point to a Liberal hold.

A by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the University—Rosedale, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada.

If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
音量
$314
終了日
2026/04/13
マーケット開始日
Apr 3, 2026, 7:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the University—Rosedale, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
A by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the University—Rosedale, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).Danielle Martin holds a commanding 96% trader consensus as the Liberal frontrunner in the University—Rosedale federal by-election set for April 13, driven by the riding's entrenched Liberal dominance—Chrystia Freeland captured 64% there in the 2025 general election—and Martin's profile as a University of Toronto family medicine chair and health care advocate. Advance polls opened April 3 amid active Liberal door-knocking by MPs, underscoring organizational strength in this urban Toronto district. Fragmented opposition, including Conservative Don Hodgson (23% in 2025) and NDP's Serena Purdy (10%), lacks momentum per historical base rates in low-turnout by-elections. Realistic challenges include a late scandal, national backlash boosting Conservatives, or surge turnout tilting against the government, though structural advantages point to a Liberal hold.

A by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the University—Rosedale, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada.

If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
音量
$314
終了日
2026/04/13
マーケット開始日
Apr 3, 2026, 7:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the University—Rosedale, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「University—Rosedale By-Election Winner」はPolymarket上の10個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Danielle Martin」で96%、次いで「Bill Whatcott」が2%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、96¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に96%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「University—Rosedale By-Election Winner」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Apr 3, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「University—Rosedale By-Election Winner」で取引するには、このページに記載されている10個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「University—Rosedale By-Election Winner」の現在のフロントランナーは「Danielle Martin」で96%であり、市場がこの結果に96%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Bill Whatcott」で2%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「University—Rosedale By-Election Winner」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。