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Ted Cruz #は2026年4月3日〜4月10日に投稿しましたか?

Market icon

Ted Cruz #は2026年4月3日〜4月10日に投稿しましたか?

100~119 34%

60〜79 23%

80~99 12%

120〜139 12%

Polymarket
新規

100~119 34%

60〜79 23%

80~99 12%

120〜139 12%

Polymarket
新規

20未満

$151 Vol.

1%

20〜39

$143 Vol.

1%

40〜59

$24 Vol.

6%

60〜79

$10 Vol.

23%

80~99

$10 Vol.

20%

100~119

$10 Vol.

34%

120〜139

$10 Vol.

19%

140〜159

$10 Vol.

21%

160〜179

$15 Vol.

21%

180~199

$20 Vol.

12%

200以上

$91 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies Ted Cruz will post 100-119 times on X from April 3-10, 2026, atop bins at 60-79 and 140-159, reflecting his status as the Senate's most active poster—over 9,000 posts in 2024 per Quorum analysis, averaging 20-25 daily amid commentary on immigration enforcement, cultural debates, and GOP priorities. Recent days show sustained volume, with multiple March 31 posts critiquing migrant crime incidents and federal judge rulings blocking Trump-era border policy revocations, sustaining baseline expectations. Differentiation among leaders hinges on news catalysts like Senate hearings or shutdown talks boosting output, versus potential lulls from Easter (April 5) or travel; spikes above 160 could stem from high-engagement events such as CPAC follow-ups or policy announcements, while sub-100 risks quieter periods absent breaking developments.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$494
終了日
2026/04/10
マーケット開始日
Mar 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies Ted Cruz will post 100-119 times on X from April 3-10, 2026, atop bins at 60-79 and 140-159, reflecting his status as the Senate's most active poster—over 9,000 posts in 2024 per Quorum analysis, averaging 20-25 daily amid commentary on immigration enforcement, cultural debates, and GOP priorities. Recent days show sustained volume, with multiple March 31 posts critiquing migrant crime incidents and federal judge rulings blocking Trump-era border policy revocations, sustaining baseline expectations. Differentiation among leaders hinges on news catalysts like Senate hearings or shutdown talks boosting output, versus potential lulls from Easter (April 5) or travel; spikes above 160 could stem from high-engagement events such as CPAC follow-ups or policy announcements, while sub-100 risks quieter periods absent breaking developments.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$494
終了日
2026/04/10
マーケット開始日
Mar 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Ted Cruz #は2026年4月3日〜4月10日に投稿しましたか?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「100~119」で34%、次いで「60〜79」が23%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、34¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に34%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Ted Cruz #は2026年4月3日〜4月10日に投稿しましたか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Mar 31, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Ted Cruz #は2026年4月3日〜4月10日に投稿しましたか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Ted Cruz #は2026年4月3日〜4月10日に投稿しましたか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「100~119」で34%であり、市場がこの結果に34%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「60〜79」で23%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Ted Cruz #は2026年4月3日〜4月10日に投稿しましたか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。