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icon for トランプ氏は新しいUFOファイルの機密解除を... ?

トランプ氏は新しいUFOファイルの機密解除を... ?

icon for トランプ氏は新しいUFOファイルの機密解除を... ?

トランプ氏は新しいUFOファイルの機密解除を... ?

新規
2026/10/15
Polymarket

$60 Vol.

Polymarket

10月15日

$0 Vol.

35%

10月31日

$0 Vol.

66%

11月30日

$60 Vol.

74%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market’s timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump’s February 2026 directive to federal agencies, including the Department of Defense, to identify and declassify records on unidentified anomalous phenomena and extraterrestrial topics established the PURSUE rolling-release program. This produced six public tranches by mid-September 2026, featuring military sensor data, historical reports, and videos previously held at higher classification levels. Congressional pressure from members focused on transparency has sustained the effort, with the Pentagon confirming additional batches will follow on a continuing schedule. Trader consensus reflects the institutional momentum of an active executive-led process rather than isolated one-time actions.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.

Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market’s timeframe will not count.

The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market’s timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$60
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Sep 22, 2026, 12:06 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market’s timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump’s February 2026 directive to federal agencies, including the Department of Defense, to identify and declassify records on unidentified anomalous phenomena and extraterrestrial topics established the PURSUE rolling-release program. This produced six public tranches by mid-September 2026, featuring military sensor data, historical reports, and videos previously held at higher classification levels. Congressional pressure from members focused on transparency has sustained the effort, with the Pentagon confirming additional batches will follow on a continuing schedule. Trader consensus reflects the institutional momentum of an active executive-led process rather than isolated one-time actions.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.

Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market’s timeframe will not count.

The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market’s timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$60
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Sep 22, 2026, 12:06 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

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よくある質問

「トランプ氏は新しいUFOファイルの機密解除を... ?」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「11月30日」で74%、次いで「10月31日」が66%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、74¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に74%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「トランプ氏は新しいUFOファイルの機密解除を... ?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Sep 22, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「トランプ氏は新しいUFOファイルの機密解除を... ?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「トランプ氏は新しいUFOファイルの機密解除を... ?」の現在のフロントランナーは「11月30日」で74%であり、市場がこの結果に74%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「10月31日」で66%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「トランプ氏は新しいUFOファイルの機密解除を... ?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。