A federal judge dismissed President Trump's $10 billion defamation lawsuit against the Wall Street Journal on April 13 over its reporting on his alleged letter to Jeffrey Epstein, granting leave to refile an amended complaint. Trump quickly stated he would pursue the case anew, aligning with his pattern of aggressive litigation against media outlets like ABC and CBS for perceived smears. Trader consensus tilts slightly to "No" at 54.5% implied probability, reflecting skepticism over the tight 12-day window to April 27 amid procedural hurdles for drafting and filing, possible settlement overtures, or shifting priorities. A prompt refiling or escalated rhetoric could surge Yes odds, while silence or delays would bolster No.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/04/27
新規
新規
2026/04/27
"This market will resolve to 'Yes' if Donald Trump initiates or refiles a lawsuit against the Wall Street Journal by April 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
Both novel lawsuits and amended complaints against the Wall Street Journal will qualify, including amended complaints that assert new or revised allegations. Appeals, motions for reconsideration, or other actions that do not assert new or amended claims will not count.
An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A federal judge dismissed President Trump's $10 billion defamation lawsuit against the Wall Street Journal on April 13 over its reporting on his alleged letter to Jeffrey Epstein, granting leave to refile an amended complaint. Trump quickly stated he would pursue the case anew, aligning with his pattern of aggressive litigation against media outlets like ABC and CBS for perceived smears. Trader consensus tilts slightly to "No" at 54.5% implied probability, reflecting skepticism over the tight 12-day window to April 27 amid procedural hurdles for drafting and filing, possible settlement overtures, or shifting priorities. A prompt refiling or escalated rhetoric could surge Yes odds, while silence or delays would bolster No.
"This market will resolve to 'Yes' if Donald Trump initiates or refiles a lawsuit against the Wall Street Journal by April 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
Both novel lawsuits and amended complaints against the Wall Street Journal will qualify, including amended complaints that assert new or revised allegations. Appeals, motions for reconsideration, or other actions that do not assert new or amended claims will not count.
An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Both novel lawsuits and amended complaints against the Wall Street Journal will qualify, including amended complaints that assert new or revised allegations. Appeals, motions for reconsideration, or other actions that do not assert new or amended claims will not count.
An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Apr 13, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
音量
$1終了日
2026/04/27マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91..."This market will resolve to 'Yes' if Donald Trump initiates or refiles a lawsuit against the Wall Street Journal by April 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
Both novel lawsuits and amended complaints against the Wall Street Journal will qualify, including amended complaints that assert new or revised allegations. Appeals, motions for reconsideration, or other actions that do not assert new or amended claims will not count.
An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A federal judge dismissed President Trump's $10 billion defamation lawsuit against the Wall Street Journal on April 13 over its reporting on his alleged letter to Jeffrey Epstein, granting leave to refile an amended complaint. Trump quickly stated he would pursue the case anew, aligning with his pattern of aggressive litigation against media outlets like ABC and CBS for perceived smears. Trader consensus tilts slightly to "No" at 54.5% implied probability, reflecting skepticism over the tight 12-day window to April 27 amid procedural hurdles for drafting and filing, possible settlement overtures, or shifting priorities. A prompt refiling or escalated rhetoric could surge Yes odds, while silence or delays would bolster No.
"This market will resolve to 'Yes' if Donald Trump initiates or refiles a lawsuit against the Wall Street Journal by April 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
Both novel lawsuits and amended complaints against the Wall Street Journal will qualify, including amended complaints that assert new or revised allegations. Appeals, motions for reconsideration, or other actions that do not assert new or amended claims will not count.
An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Both novel lawsuits and amended complaints against the Wall Street Journal will qualify, including amended complaints that assert new or revised allegations. Appeals, motions for reconsideration, or other actions that do not assert new or amended claims will not count.
An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1終了日
2026/04/27マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A federal judge dismissed President Trump's $10 billion defamation lawsuit against the Wall Street Journal on April 13 over its reporting on his alleged letter to Jeffrey Epstein, granting leave to refile an amended complaint. Trump quickly stated he would pursue the case anew, aligning with his pattern of aggressive litigation against media outlets like ABC and CBS for perceived smears. Trader consensus tilts slightly to "No" at 54.5% implied probability, reflecting skepticism over the tight 12-day window to April 27 amid procedural hurdles for drafting and filing, possible settlement overtures, or shifting priorities. A prompt refiling or escalated rhetoric could surge Yes odds, while silence or delays would bolster No.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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