US-Cuba tensions have escalated in 2026 through economic sanctions, oil import restrictions, and increased US military surveillance flights over the island, alongside deployment of the USS Nimitz carrier group and Marine units in the Caribbean. The Trump administration has pursued regime change goals via executive actions and high-level talks, including CIA engagements, while Pentagon planners have reviewed contingency options such as air assaults. No direct military clash has materialized amid these measures, with ongoing negotiations, stalled prisoner-release discussions, and competing priorities like the Iran situation limiting escalation. Traders price a low probability of kinetic conflict this year given the emphasis on coercive diplomacy and the substantial logistical and political barriers to sustained operations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$236,612 Vol.
$236,612 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$236,612 Vol.
$236,612 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Cuba between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Cuban military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Cuban Border Guard is considered part of the Cuban military.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.US-Cuba tensions have escalated in 2026 through economic sanctions, oil import restrictions, and increased US military surveillance flights over the island, alongside deployment of the USS Nimitz carrier group and Marine units in the Caribbean. The Trump administration has pursued regime change goals via executive actions and high-level talks, including CIA engagements, while Pentagon planners have reviewed contingency options such as air assaults. No direct military clash has materialized amid these measures, with ongoing negotiations, stalled prisoner-release discussions, and competing priorities like the Iran situation limiting escalation. Traders price a low probability of kinetic conflict this year given the emphasis on coercive diplomacy and the substantial logistical and political barriers to sustained operations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Cuba between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Cuban military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Cuban Border Guard is considered part of the Cuban military.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Cuban military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Cuban Border Guard is considered part of the Cuban military.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Feb 25, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
音量
$236,612終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 25, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Cuba between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Cuban military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Cuban Border Guard is considered part of the Cuban military.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.US-Cuba tensions have escalated in 2026 through economic sanctions, oil import restrictions, and increased US military surveillance flights over the island, alongside deployment of the USS Nimitz carrier group and Marine units in the Caribbean. The Trump administration has pursued regime change goals via executive actions and high-level talks, including CIA engagements, while Pentagon planners have reviewed contingency options such as air assaults. No direct military clash has materialized amid these measures, with ongoing negotiations, stalled prisoner-release discussions, and competing priorities like the Iran situation limiting escalation. Traders price a low probability of kinetic conflict this year given the emphasis on coercive diplomacy and the substantial logistical and political barriers to sustained operations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Cuba between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Cuban military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Cuban Border Guard is considered part of the Cuban military.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Cuban military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Cuban Border Guard is considered part of the Cuban military.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$236,612終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 25, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Cuba tensions have escalated in 2026 through economic sanctions, oil import restrictions, and increased US military surveillance flights over the island, alongside deployment of the USS Nimitz carrier group and Marine units in the Caribbean. The Trump administration has pursued regime change goals via executive actions and high-level talks, including CIA engagements, while Pentagon planners have reviewed contingency options such as air assaults. No direct military clash has materialized amid these measures, with ongoing negotiations, stalled prisoner-release discussions, and competing priorities like the Iran situation limiting escalation. Traders price a low probability of kinetic conflict this year given the emphasis on coercive diplomacy and the substantial logistical and political barriers to sustained operations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問