Donald Trump consistently posts multiple times daily on Truth Social, with recent activity centering on cabinet nominations, confirmation hearings, executive actions on immigration and border security, and criticisms of congressional Democrats amid early legislative battles. Over the past week, posts highlighted progress in appointing key figures like the Secretary of Defense and responses to media coverage of transition efforts, reinforcing trader expectations of sustained volume. No major events like summits or court dates are scheduled for March 30-April 5, but ongoing Senate votes and potential agency announcements could shape topics, while his pattern shows low likelihood of silence barring unforeseen health or strategic shifts. Markets reflect this reliable cadence as the baseline for outcome probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NEW
Apr 5, 2026
Keir / Starmer
41%
Ceasefire
53%
Epic Fury
41%
Gay
41%
Panican
41%
Palestine / Palestinian
41%
Memphis
41%
Statue
41%
Kuwait
41%
Boeing
41%
Free Tina Peters
41%
Barack Hussein Obama
44%
Sleepy Joe Biden
41%
Peace Through Strength
41%
Bully of the Middle East
41%
Trump derangement / Trump deranged
41%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
41%
Democrat Shutdown
43%
Pahlavi
41%
Elon / Musk
41%
Terrorist
44%
Congresswoman
41%
Happy Easter
46%
Easter Egg
51%
Movie Star
43%
$0.00 Vol.
Keir / Starmer
$0 Vol.
41%
Ceasefire
$0 Vol.
53%
Epic Fury
$0 Vol.
41%
Gay
$0 Vol.
41%
Panican
$0 Vol.
41%
Palestine / Palestinian
$0 Vol.
41%
Memphis
$0 Vol.
41%
Statue
$0 Vol.
41%
Kuwait
$0 Vol.
41%
Boeing
$0 Vol.
41%
Free Tina Peters
$0 Vol.
41%
Barack Hussein Obama
$0 Vol.
44%
Sleepy Joe Biden
$0 Vol.
41%
Peace Through Strength
$0 Vol.
41%
Bully of the Middle East
$0 Vol.
41%
Trump derangement / Trump deranged
$0 Vol.
41%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
$0 Vol.
41%
Democrat Shutdown
$0 Vol.
43%
Pahlavi
$0 Vol.
41%
Elon / Musk
$0 Vol.
41%
Terrorist
$0 Vol.
44%
Congresswoman
$0 Vol.
41%
Happy Easter
$0 Vol.
46%
Easter Egg
$0 Vol.
51%
Movie Star
$0 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between March 31, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.Donald Trump consistently posts multiple times daily on Truth Social, with recent activity centering on cabinet nominations, confirmation hearings, executive actions on immigration and border security, and criticisms of congressional Democrats amid early legislative battles. Over the past week, posts highlighted progress in appointing key figures like the Secretary of Defense and responses to media coverage of transition efforts, reinforcing trader expectations of sustained volume. No major events like summits or court dates are scheduled for March 30-April 5, but ongoing Senate votes and potential agency announcements could shape topics, while his pattern shows low likelihood of silence barring unforeseen health or strategic shifts. Markets reflect this reliable cadence as the baseline for outcome probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between March 31, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
マーケット開始日： Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
Apr 5, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between March 31, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.Donald Trump consistently posts multiple times daily on Truth Social, with recent activity centering on cabinet nominations, confirmation hearings, executive actions on immigration and border security, and criticisms of congressional Democrats amid early legislative battles. Over the past week, posts highlighted progress in appointing key figures like the Secretary of Defense and responses to media coverage of transition efforts, reinforcing trader expectations of sustained volume. No major events like summits or court dates are scheduled for March 30-April 5, but ongoing Senate votes and potential agency announcements could shape topics, while his pattern shows low likelihood of silence barring unforeseen health or strategic shifts. Markets reflect this reliable cadence as the baseline for outcome probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between March 31, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
音量
$0終了日
Apr 5, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Donald Trump consistently posts multiple times daily on Truth Social, with recent activity centering on cabinet nominations, confirmation hearings, executive actions on immigration and border security, and criticisms of congressional Democrats amid early legislative battles. Over the past week, posts highlighted progress in appointing key figures like the Secretary of Defense and responses to media coverage of transition efforts, reinforcing trader expectations of sustained volume. No major events like summits or court dates are scheduled for March 30-April 5, but ongoing Senate votes and potential agency announcements could shape topics, while his pattern shows low likelihood of silence barring unforeseen health or strategic shifts. Markets reflect this reliable cadence as the baseline for outcome probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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