Alberta traders price a 95% chance against the province joining the United States, reflecting insurmountable constitutional, legal, and political barriers despite fringe separatist momentum. Separatist groups like the Alberta Prosperity Project claimed to surpass the 177,000-signature threshold for an independence referendum petition by late March 2026, but courts halted the process in early April amid First Nations challenges to the ballot question and procedural issues, with further hearings pending. Polls show independence support at around 30%, a minority view, while Premier Danielle Smith emphasizes a united Canada. Even if a referendum occurs—potentially October—no mechanism exists for unilateral secession under Canada's Clarity Act, and U.S. statehood would require federal approval in Ottawa and a U.S. Congressional act, scenarios dismissed by experts as implausible absent seismic shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
新規
新規
2026/12/31
はい
新規
新規
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Alberta traders price a 95% chance against the province joining the United States, reflecting insurmountable constitutional, legal, and political barriers despite fringe separatist momentum. Separatist groups like the Alberta Prosperity Project claimed to surpass the 177,000-signature threshold for an independence referendum petition by late March 2026, but courts halted the process in early April amid First Nations challenges to the ballot question and procedural issues, with further hearings pending. Polls show independence support at around 30%, a minority view, while Premier Danielle Smith emphasizes a united Canada. Even if a referendum occurs—potentially October—no mechanism exists for unilateral secession under Canada's Clarity Act, and U.S. statehood would require federal approval in Ottawa and a U.S. Congressional act, scenarios dismissed by experts as implausible absent seismic shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
マーケット開始日： Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
音量
$3,542終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Alberta traders price a 95% chance against the province joining the United States, reflecting insurmountable constitutional, legal, and political barriers despite fringe separatist momentum. Separatist groups like the Alberta Prosperity Project claimed to surpass the 177,000-signature threshold for an independence referendum petition by late March 2026, but courts halted the process in early April amid First Nations challenges to the ballot question and procedural issues, with further hearings pending. Polls show independence support at around 30%, a minority view, while Premier Danielle Smith emphasizes a united Canada. Even if a referendum occurs—potentially October—no mechanism exists for unilateral secession under Canada's Clarity Act, and U.S. statehood would require federal approval in Ottawa and a U.S. Congressional act, scenarios dismissed by experts as implausible absent seismic shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
音量
$3,542終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Alberta traders price a 95% chance against the province joining the United States, reflecting insurmountable constitutional, legal, and political barriers despite fringe separatist momentum. Separatist groups like the Alberta Prosperity Project claimed to surpass the 177,000-signature threshold for an independence referendum petition by late March 2026, but courts halted the process in early April amid First Nations challenges to the ballot question and procedural issues, with further hearings pending. Polls show independence support at around 30%, a minority view, while Premier Danielle Smith emphasizes a united Canada. Even if a referendum occurs—potentially October—no mechanism exists for unilateral secession under Canada's Clarity Act, and U.S. statehood would require federal approval in Ottawa and a U.S. Congressional act, scenarios dismissed by experts as implausible absent seismic shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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