Trader consensus reflects near-certain improbability of Alberta joining the United States, driven by formidable constitutional barriers under Canadian law requiring federal approval for secession, alongside U.S. congressional processes for statehood admission that demand extensive negotiations and treaty ratification. Recent separatist momentum, including the Stay Free Alberta petition surpassing the 177,732-signature threshold for an independence referendum by late March 2026—temporarily paused by court order on April 10—focuses on provincial sovereignty rather than direct U.S. accession. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's January remarks welcoming Alberta as a "natural partner" sparked buzz but prompted no formal diplomatic action. A successful October independence referendum, followed by unlikely bilateral agreements, remains the sole realistic shift, though polls show declining support amid legal and economic risks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
新規
新規
2026/12/31
はい
新規
新規
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Trader consensus reflects near-certain improbability of Alberta joining the United States, driven by formidable constitutional barriers under Canadian law requiring federal approval for secession, alongside U.S. congressional processes for statehood admission that demand extensive negotiations and treaty ratification. Recent separatist momentum, including the Stay Free Alberta petition surpassing the 177,732-signature threshold for an independence referendum by late March 2026—temporarily paused by court order on April 10—focuses on provincial sovereignty rather than direct U.S. accession. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's January remarks welcoming Alberta as a "natural partner" sparked buzz but prompted no formal diplomatic action. A successful October independence referendum, followed by unlikely bilateral agreements, remains the sole realistic shift, though polls show declining support amid legal and economic risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
マーケット開始日： Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
音量
$3,849終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Trader consensus reflects near-certain improbability of Alberta joining the United States, driven by formidable constitutional barriers under Canadian law requiring federal approval for secession, alongside U.S. congressional processes for statehood admission that demand extensive negotiations and treaty ratification. Recent separatist momentum, including the Stay Free Alberta petition surpassing the 177,732-signature threshold for an independence referendum by late March 2026—temporarily paused by court order on April 10—focuses on provincial sovereignty rather than direct U.S. accession. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's January remarks welcoming Alberta as a "natural partner" sparked buzz but prompted no formal diplomatic action. A successful October independence referendum, followed by unlikely bilateral agreements, remains the sole realistic shift, though polls show declining support amid legal and economic risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
音量
$3,849終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects near-certain improbability of Alberta joining the United States, driven by formidable constitutional barriers under Canadian law requiring federal approval for secession, alongside U.S. congressional processes for statehood admission that demand extensive negotiations and treaty ratification. Recent separatist momentum, including the Stay Free Alberta petition surpassing the 177,732-signature threshold for an independence referendum by late March 2026—temporarily paused by court order on April 10—focuses on provincial sovereignty rather than direct U.S. accession. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's January remarks welcoming Alberta as a "natural partner" sparked buzz but prompted no formal diplomatic action. A successful October independence referendum, followed by unlikely bilateral agreements, remains the sole realistic shift, though polls show declining support amid legal and economic risks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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