Greenland’s current government, formed after the March 2025 election, prioritizes a gradual path to self-determination while ruling out near-term independence discussions, reflecting voter preference for stability amid U.S. strategic pressure. The Demokraatit-led coalition, backed by parties favoring measured steps, has emphasized cooperation within the Danish realm to safeguard security and economic support, with polls indicating most Greenlanders support eventual sovereignty only if living standards are preserved. Recent EU engagement, Danish financial commitments, and ongoing trilateral talks with the United States have reinforced this stance without advancing referendum preparations. A vote remains possible only after parliamentary action and negotiations, making a 2026 ballot unlikely absent a sudden coalition shift or major external catalyst.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
4% 確率
$48,986 Vol.
$48,986 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
4% 確率
$48,986 Vol.
$48,986 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Greenland’s current government, formed after the March 2025 election, prioritizes a gradual path to self-determination while ruling out near-term independence discussions, reflecting voter preference for stability amid U.S. strategic pressure. The Demokraatit-led coalition, backed by parties favoring measured steps, has emphasized cooperation within the Danish realm to safeguard security and economic support, with polls indicating most Greenlanders support eventual sovereignty only if living standards are preserved. Recent EU engagement, Danish financial commitments, and ongoing trilateral talks with the United States have reinforced this stance without advancing referendum preparations. A vote remains possible only after parliamentary action and negotiations, making a 2026 ballot unlikely absent a sudden coalition shift or major external catalyst.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 12, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
音量
$48,986終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jan 12, 2026, 5:47 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Greenland’s current government, formed after the March 2025 election, prioritizes a gradual path to self-determination while ruling out near-term independence discussions, reflecting voter preference for stability amid U.S. strategic pressure. The Demokraatit-led coalition, backed by parties favoring measured steps, has emphasized cooperation within the Danish realm to safeguard security and economic support, with polls indicating most Greenlanders support eventual sovereignty only if living standards are preserved. Recent EU engagement, Danish financial commitments, and ongoing trilateral talks with the United States have reinforced this stance without advancing referendum preparations. A vote remains possible only after parliamentary action and negotiations, making a 2026 ballot unlikely absent a sudden coalition shift or major external catalyst.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$48,986終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jan 12, 2026, 5:47 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Greenland’s current government, formed after the March 2025 election, prioritizes a gradual path to self-determination while ruling out near-term independence discussions, reflecting voter preference for stability amid U.S. strategic pressure. The Demokraatit-led coalition, backed by parties favoring measured steps, has emphasized cooperation within the Danish realm to safeguard security and economic support, with polls indicating most Greenlanders support eventual sovereignty only if living standards are preserved. Recent EU engagement, Danish financial commitments, and ongoing trilateral talks with the United States have reinforced this stance without advancing referendum preparations. A vote remains possible only after parliamentary action and negotiations, making a 2026 ballot unlikely absent a sudden coalition shift or major external catalyst.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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