Venezuelan opposition leader and Nobel Peace Prize laureate María Corina Machado remains in exile after the US capture of Nicolás Maduro earlier in 2026, positioning her return as a pivotal test for the country's democratic transition. On March 1, she announced plans to reenter "in coming weeks" to push for new elections amid regime fragmentation, with recent reports of US coordination for a safe arrival potentially by late April or early May. Interim authorities have warned against interference to maintain stability, while opposition supporters anticipate mass mobilizations. Traders assess her entry odds based on diplomatic pressures, institutional holdouts, and scheduled transition talks, with any delay highlighting persistent power struggles in Caracas.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$5,555,739 Vol.

4月30日
6%

5月31日
16%

6月30日
44%
$5,555,739 Vol.

4月30日
6%

5月31日
16%

6月30日
44%
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日: Apr 3, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Venezuelan opposition leader and Nobel Peace Prize laureate María Corina Machado remains in exile after the US capture of Nicolás Maduro earlier in 2026, positioning her return as a pivotal test for the country's democratic transition. On March 1, she announced plans to reenter "in coming weeks" to push for new elections amid regime fragmentation, with recent reports of US coordination for a safe arrival potentially by late April or early May. Interim authorities have warned against interference to maintain stability, while opposition supporters anticipate mass mobilizations. Traders assess her entry odds based on diplomatic pressures, institutional holdouts, and scheduled transition talks, with any delay highlighting persistent power struggles in Caracas.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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