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icon for トランプ氏は4月25日のWHCAディナーで踊りますか?

トランプ氏は4月25日のWHCAディナーで踊りますか?

icon for トランプ氏は4月25日のWHCAディナーで踊りますか?

トランプ氏は4月25日のWHCAディナーで踊りますか?

はい

<1% 確率
Polymarket

$19,923 Vol.

はい

<1% 確率
Polymarket

$19,923 Vol.

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in the White House Correspondents' Association Dinner events on April 25, 2026. (see: https://whca.press/news/annual-dinner/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances during White House Correspondents' Association Dinner events on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. This market will resolve according to footage of the event. Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability on "No" for Trump dancing at the White House Correspondents' Dinner on April 25, 2026, as the event unfolded yesterday without any such moment amid high-profile disruption. President Trump attended the gala—his first as sitting president—entering the Washington Hilton ballroom to "Hail to the Chief" and greeting journalists, but a security incident with loud bangs and reports of shots fired led to his swift Secret Service evacuation, halting proceedings before entertainment segments like comedy roasts or after-dinner dancing could proceed. The formal black-tie atmosphere, Trump's past avoidance of WHCA until now, and the chaotic early exit drive overwhelming confidence in resolution to "No." Realistic upsets are negligible post-event, barring improbable emergence of unverified footage, with markets now focused on official video confirmation.

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in the White House Correspondents' Association Dinner events on April 25, 2026. (see: https://whca.press/news/annual-dinner/)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances during White House Correspondents' Association Dinner events on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.

AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.

This market will resolve according to footage of the event.
音量
$19,923
終了日
2026/04/25
マーケット開始日
Apr 22, 2026, 10:04 AM ET
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in the White House Correspondents' Association Dinner events on April 25, 2026. (see: https://whca.press/news/annual-dinner/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances during White House Correspondents' Association Dinner events on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. This market will resolve according to footage of the event.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in the White House Correspondents' Association Dinner events on April 25, 2026. (see: https://whca.press/news/annual-dinner/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances during White House Correspondents' Association Dinner events on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. This market will resolve according to footage of the event. Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability on "No" for Trump dancing at the White House Correspondents' Dinner on April 25, 2026, as the event unfolded yesterday without any such moment amid high-profile disruption. President Trump attended the gala—his first as sitting president—entering the Washington Hilton ballroom to "Hail to the Chief" and greeting journalists, but a security incident with loud bangs and reports of shots fired led to his swift Secret Service evacuation, halting proceedings before entertainment segments like comedy roasts or after-dinner dancing could proceed. The formal black-tie atmosphere, Trump's past avoidance of WHCA until now, and the chaotic early exit drive overwhelming confidence in resolution to "No." Realistic upsets are negligible post-event, barring improbable emergence of unverified footage, with markets now focused on official video confirmation.

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in the White House Correspondents' Association Dinner events on April 25, 2026. (see: https://whca.press/news/annual-dinner/)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances during White House Correspondents' Association Dinner events on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.

AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.

This market will resolve according to footage of the event.
音量
$19,923
終了日
2026/04/25
マーケット開始日
Apr 22, 2026, 10:04 AM ET
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in the White House Correspondents' Association Dinner events on April 25, 2026. (see: https://whca.press/news/annual-dinner/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances during White House Correspondents' Association Dinner events on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. This market will resolve according to footage of the event.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「トランプ氏は4月25日のWHCAディナーで踊りますか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「トランプは4月25日のWHCAディナーで踊りますか?」で0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、0¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に0%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「トランプ氏は4月25日のWHCAディナーで踊りますか?」は$19.9Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Apr 22, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「トランプ氏は4月25日のWHCAディナーで踊りますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「トランプ氏は4月25日のWHCAディナーで踊りますか?」の現在のリーダーは「トランプは4月25日のWHCAディナーで踊りますか?」でわずか0%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「トランプ氏は4月25日のWHCAディナーで踊りますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。