Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 60-79 posts (36%) and 80-99 posts (34.5%) by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy on X from April 3-10, reflecting his consistent 10-15 daily posts amid the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war, including bilingual threads on military updates and diplomacy. Recent drivers include March 31 Bucha Summit commemorations with parliamentary delegations, addresses to EU foreign ministers on EU integration and Easter ceasefire proposals, and March 24 reports of over 390 Russian strike drones across 11 regions. This variability—spiking with airstrikes, intelligence revelations on Russia-Iran ties, and Gulf defense deals—keeps the race tight. Escalation like a major Russian offensive, US negotiation breakthroughs, or Strait of Hormuz developments could push toward higher bins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日60~79 49%
80〜99 35%
40〜59 28%
20〜39 10%
20未満
6%
20〜39
10%
40〜59
28%
60~79
36%
80〜99
35%
100〜119
4%
120〜139
23%
140~159
23%
160〜179
22%
180〜199
5%
200以上
3%
60~79 49%
80〜99 35%
40〜59 28%
20〜39 10%
20未満
6%
20〜39
10%
40〜59
28%
60~79
36%
80〜99
35%
100〜119
4%
120〜139
23%
140~159
23%
160〜179
22%
180〜199
5%
200以上
3%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日: Mar 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 60-79 posts (36%) and 80-99 posts (34.5%) by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy on X from April 3-10, reflecting his consistent 10-15 daily posts amid the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war, including bilingual threads on military updates and diplomacy. Recent drivers include March 31 Bucha Summit commemorations with parliamentary delegations, addresses to EU foreign ministers on EU integration and Easter ceasefire proposals, and March 24 reports of over 390 Russian strike drones across 11 regions. This variability—spiking with airstrikes, intelligence revelations on Russia-Iran ties, and Gulf defense deals—keeps the race tight. Escalation like a major Russian offensive, US negotiation breakthroughs, or Strait of Hormuz developments could push toward higher bins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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