Trader consensus clusters around 1160-1279 total X posts for Elon Musk in April 2026, with the 1240-1279 bin leading at 14.1% implied probability, reflecting his sustained high-volume posting pace of roughly 35-45 posts daily so far—verified through resolved short-term Polymarket trackers like April 11-13 (115-139 posts) and April 13-15 (65-89 posts). This halfway projection leaves room for variance driven by daily spikes in viral engagement on Tesla updates, xAI advancements, and political commentary, creating a tight race among top bins amid no confirmed slowdowns. Key swing factors include potential Tesla earnings announcements later this month, which historically amplify his social media activity, and any unexpected personal or platform shifts before April 30 resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트1240-1279 14.1%
1160~1199 11.6%
1200~1239 11.4%
1120-1159 10.3%
$7,688,431 거래량
$7,688,431 거래량
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580~599
<1%
600~619
<1%
620-639
<1%
640-659
<1%
660-679
<1%
680-699
<1%
700~719
<1%
720-739
<1%
740-759
<1%
760-779
<1%
780-799
<1%
800~839
1%
840-879
1%
880-919
<1%
920-959
2%
960~999
2%
1000~1039
5%
1040-1079
5%
1080~1119
4%
1120-1159
10%
1160~1199
12%
1200~1239
11%
1240-1279
14%
1280-1319
9%
1320~1359
6%
1360-1399
4%
1400~1439
3%
1440-1479
2%
1480-1519
1%
1520-1559
1%
1560~1599
1%
1600~1679
1%
1680-1759
1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000개 이상
<1%
1240-1279 14.1%
1160~1199 11.6%
1200~1239 11.4%
1120-1159 10.3%
$7,688,431 거래량
$7,688,431 거래량
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580~599
<1%
600~619
<1%
620-639
<1%
640-659
<1%
660-679
<1%
680-699
<1%
700~719
<1%
720-739
<1%
740-759
<1%
760-779
<1%
780-799
<1%
800~839
1%
840-879
1%
880-919
<1%
920-959
2%
960~999
2%
1000~1039
5%
1040-1079
5%
1080~1119
4%
1120-1159
10%
1160~1199
12%
1200~1239
11%
1240-1279
14%
1280-1319
9%
1320~1359
6%
1360-1399
4%
1400~1439
3%
1440-1479
2%
1480-1519
1%
1520-1559
1%
1560~1599
1%
1600~1679
1%
1680-1759
1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000개 이상
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
마켓 개설일: Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters around 1160-1279 total X posts for Elon Musk in April 2026, with the 1240-1279 bin leading at 14.1% implied probability, reflecting his sustained high-volume posting pace of roughly 35-45 posts daily so far—verified through resolved short-term Polymarket trackers like April 11-13 (115-139 posts) and April 13-15 (65-89 posts). This halfway projection leaves room for variance driven by daily spikes in viral engagement on Tesla updates, xAI advancements, and political commentary, creating a tight race among top bins amid no confirmed slowdowns. Key swing factors include potential Tesla earnings announcements later this month, which historically amplify his social media activity, and any unexpected personal or platform shifts before April 30 resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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