Florida's 6th congressional district maintains a solid Republican advantage, reflected in its R+14 partisan voter index and consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Randy Fine, who won the 2025 special election to replace Mike Waltz, faces multiple primary challengers on August 18 but leads with overwhelming support, while the general election field on November 3 includes limited Democratic opposition. Historical voting patterns, the district's composition, and the absence of major recent shifts in polling or candidate dynamics underpin the current trader consensus on a Republican hold. A significant primary upset or late-cycle event such as a candidate withdrawal or unexpected scandal could introduce volatility, though such developments remain uncommon in districts of this lean.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
8%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$913 거래량
93%
Democratic Party
$1,478 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 6th congressional district maintains a solid Republican advantage, reflected in its R+14 partisan voter index and consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Randy Fine, who won the 2025 special election to replace Mike Waltz, faces multiple primary challengers on August 18 but leads with overwhelming support, while the general election field on November 3 includes limited Democratic opposition. Historical voting patterns, the district's composition, and the absence of major recent shifts in polling or candidate dynamics underpin the current trader consensus on a Republican hold. A significant primary upset or late-cycle event such as a candidate withdrawal or unexpected scandal could introduce volatility, though such developments remain uncommon in districts of this lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
거래량
$2,391종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 6th congressional district maintains a solid Republican advantage, reflected in its R+14 partisan voter index and consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Randy Fine, who won the 2025 special election to replace Mike Waltz, faces multiple primary challengers on August 18 but leads with overwhelming support, while the general election field on November 3 includes limited Democratic opposition. Historical voting patterns, the district's composition, and the absence of major recent shifts in polling or candidate dynamics underpin the current trader consensus on a Republican hold. A significant primary upset or late-cycle event such as a candidate withdrawal or unexpected scandal could introduce volatility, though such developments remain uncommon in districts of this lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$2,391종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 6th congressional district maintains a solid Republican advantage, reflected in its R+14 partisan voter index and consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Randy Fine, who won the 2025 special election to replace Mike Waltz, faces multiple primary challengers on August 18 but leads with overwhelming support, while the general election field on November 3 includes limited Democratic opposition. Historical voting patterns, the district's composition, and the absence of major recent shifts in polling or candidate dynamics underpin the current trader consensus on a Republican hold. A significant primary upset or late-cycle event such as a candidate withdrawal or unexpected scandal could introduce volatility, though such developments remain uncommon in districts of this lean.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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