Incumbent Rep. Randy Fine (R) commands trader consensus at 91% for Republican victory in FL-06, a solidly Republican district per Cook Political Report ratings, where Trump carried by over 30 points in 2024 and Fine secured a special election win last year despite Democratic fundraising edges and close polls. Fine's recent fundraising dominance, reported April 17, reinforces his frontrunner status ahead of the August 18 closed primaries, even against high-profile challenger Dan Bilzerian in the GOP contest. Democrat Jennifer Jenkins, a former school board member who entered in February, trails in this low-turnout midterm environment. Upsets could arise from a scandal, primary turmoil yielding a weakened nominee, or unforeseen national wave dynamics, though structural advantages limit such risks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
9%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$0 거래량
91%
Democratic Party
$0 거래량
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Randy Fine (R) commands trader consensus at 91% for Republican victory in FL-06, a solidly Republican district per Cook Political Report ratings, where Trump carried by over 30 points in 2024 and Fine secured a special election win last year despite Democratic fundraising edges and close polls. Fine's recent fundraising dominance, reported April 17, reinforces his frontrunner status ahead of the August 18 closed primaries, even against high-profile challenger Dan Bilzerian in the GOP contest. Democrat Jennifer Jenkins, a former school board member who entered in February, trails in this low-turnout midterm environment. Upsets could arise from a scandal, primary turmoil yielding a weakened nominee, or unforeseen national wave dynamics, though structural advantages limit such risks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
거래량
$0종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Randy Fine (R) commands trader consensus at 91% for Republican victory in FL-06, a solidly Republican district per Cook Political Report ratings, where Trump carried by over 30 points in 2024 and Fine secured a special election win last year despite Democratic fundraising edges and close polls. Fine's recent fundraising dominance, reported April 17, reinforces his frontrunner status ahead of the August 18 closed primaries, even against high-profile challenger Dan Bilzerian in the GOP contest. Democrat Jennifer Jenkins, a former school board member who entered in February, trails in this low-turnout midterm environment. Upsets could arise from a scandal, primary turmoil yielding a weakened nominee, or unforeseen national wave dynamics, though structural advantages limit such risks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$0종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Randy Fine (R) commands trader consensus at 91% for Republican victory in FL-06, a solidly Republican district per Cook Political Report ratings, where Trump carried by over 30 points in 2024 and Fine secured a special election win last year despite Democratic fundraising edges and close polls. Fine's recent fundraising dominance, reported April 17, reinforces his frontrunner status ahead of the August 18 closed primaries, even against high-profile challenger Dan Bilzerian in the GOP contest. Democrat Jennifer Jenkins, a former school board member who entered in February, trails in this low-turnout midterm environment. Upsets could arise from a scandal, primary turmoil yielding a weakened nominee, or unforeseen national wave dynamics, though structural advantages limit such risks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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