Massachusetts voters have consistently delivered overwhelming Democratic majorities in federal elections, with the last Republican Senate victory occurring in 2010. Incumbent Democrat Ed Markey, seeking a third term, maintains double-digit leads over primary challengers including Seth Moulton in recent polling averages around 42-43 percent to 31-32 percent. General election matchups against likely Republican nominee John Deaton show the Democratic candidate ahead by 20 points or more. These patterns reflect the state's partisan composition, established voter turnout dynamics, and limited Republican infrastructure, producing the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. A major shift would require an unprecedented primary upset or national political realignment altering state-level fundamentals before November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$13,152 거래량
$13,152 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
96%
공화당
4%
$13,152 거래량
$13,152 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$8,548 거래량
96%
공화당
$4,603 거래량
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts voters have consistently delivered overwhelming Democratic majorities in federal elections, with the last Republican Senate victory occurring in 2010. Incumbent Democrat Ed Markey, seeking a third term, maintains double-digit leads over primary challengers including Seth Moulton in recent polling averages around 42-43 percent to 31-32 percent. General election matchups against likely Republican nominee John Deaton show the Democratic candidate ahead by 20 points or more. These patterns reflect the state's partisan composition, established voter turnout dynamics, and limited Republican infrastructure, producing the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. A major shift would require an unprecedented primary upset or national political realignment altering state-level fundamentals before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
거래량
$13,152종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts voters have consistently delivered overwhelming Democratic majorities in federal elections, with the last Republican Senate victory occurring in 2010. Incumbent Democrat Ed Markey, seeking a third term, maintains double-digit leads over primary challengers including Seth Moulton in recent polling averages around 42-43 percent to 31-32 percent. General election matchups against likely Republican nominee John Deaton show the Democratic candidate ahead by 20 points or more. These patterns reflect the state's partisan composition, established voter turnout dynamics, and limited Republican infrastructure, producing the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. A major shift would require an unprecedented primary upset or national political realignment altering state-level fundamentals before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$13,152종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts voters have consistently delivered overwhelming Democratic majorities in federal elections, with the last Republican Senate victory occurring in 2010. Incumbent Democrat Ed Markey, seeking a third term, maintains double-digit leads over primary challengers including Seth Moulton in recent polling averages around 42-43 percent to 31-32 percent. General election matchups against likely Republican nominee John Deaton show the Democratic candidate ahead by 20 points or more. These patterns reflect the state's partisan composition, established voter turnout dynamics, and limited Republican infrastructure, producing the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. A major shift would require an unprecedented primary upset or national political realignment altering state-level fundamentals before November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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