Incumbent Rep. Bob Latta (R) stands unopposed in the May 5 Republican primary for Ohio's 5th Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+12, anchoring trader consensus at 89.5% for a GOP win under the new map enacted in October 2025. Recent filings by four Democrats—including Brian Shaver and Scott Tabor—over the past week have set up a contested Democratic primary, as Ohio Democrats aim to challenge the Latta family's nearly 50-year congressional dominance in northwest Ohio. However, the district's conservative lean, Latta's fundraising edge, and historical base rates for safe incumbents keep Democratic odds at 9%, with the November 3 general election unlikely to shift absent major scandals or national wave dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
90%
Democratic Party
9%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$0 거래량
90%
Democratic Party
$2,837 거래량
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Bob Latta (R) stands unopposed in the May 5 Republican primary for Ohio's 5th Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+12, anchoring trader consensus at 89.5% for a GOP win under the new map enacted in October 2025. Recent filings by four Democrats—including Brian Shaver and Scott Tabor—over the past week have set up a contested Democratic primary, as Ohio Democrats aim to challenge the Latta family's nearly 50-year congressional dominance in northwest Ohio. However, the district's conservative lean, Latta's fundraising edge, and historical base rates for safe incumbents keep Democratic odds at 9%, with the November 3 general election unlikely to shift absent major scandals or national wave dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$2,837종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Bob Latta (R) stands unopposed in the May 5 Republican primary for Ohio's 5th Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+12, anchoring trader consensus at 89.5% for a GOP win under the new map enacted in October 2025. Recent filings by four Democrats—including Brian Shaver and Scott Tabor—over the past week have set up a contested Democratic primary, as Ohio Democrats aim to challenge the Latta family's nearly 50-year congressional dominance in northwest Ohio. However, the district's conservative lean, Latta's fundraising edge, and historical base rates for safe incumbents keep Democratic odds at 9%, with the November 3 general election unlikely to shift absent major scandals or national wave dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$2,837종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Bob Latta (R) stands unopposed in the May 5 Republican primary for Ohio's 5th Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+12, anchoring trader consensus at 89.5% for a GOP win under the new map enacted in October 2025. Recent filings by four Democrats—including Brian Shaver and Scott Tabor—over the past week have set up a contested Democratic primary, as Ohio Democrats aim to challenge the Latta family's nearly 50-year congressional dominance in northwest Ohio. However, the district's conservative lean, Latta's fundraising edge, and historical base rates for safe incumbents keep Democratic odds at 9%, with the November 3 general election unlikely to shift absent major scandals or national wave dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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