Polymarket traders price a 94% implied probability on no Stripe IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting co-founder John Collison's January statement dismissing any "rush" to public markets and the firm's February tender offer that boosted its private valuation to $159 billion—up over 70% year-over-year—while providing employee liquidity without listing pressures. Absent an S-1 filing or roadshow announcement now just 75 days from resolution, this skin-in-the-game consensus underscores Stripe's preference for staying private amid robust payment volume growth nearing $2 trillion annually. A sudden SEC registration or accelerated timeline amid open IPO windows could challenge this positioning, though historical delays temper such expectations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트No IPO by June 30, 2026 93.8%
<80B 1.8%
80–100B 1.8%
100–120B 1.5%
$152,220 거래량
$152,220 거래량
2026.06.30
<80B
2%
80–100B
2%
100–120B
1%
120–140B
1%
140B+
<1%
No IPO by June 30, 2026
94%
No IPO by June 30, 2026 93.8%
<80B 1.8%
80–100B 1.8%
100–120B 1.5%
$152,220 거래량
$152,220 거래량
2026.06.30
<80B
$68,581 거래량
2%
80–100B
$13,321 거래량
2%
100–120B
$12,816 거래량
1%
120–140B
$31,793 거래량
1%
140B+
$10,787 거래량
<1%
No IPO by June 30, 2026
$14,922 거래량
94%
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Polymarket traders price a 94% implied probability on no Stripe IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting co-founder John Collison's January statement dismissing any "rush" to public markets and the firm's February tender offer that boosted its private valuation to $159 billion—up over 70% year-over-year—while providing employee liquidity without listing pressures. Absent an S-1 filing or roadshow announcement now just 75 days from resolution, this skin-in-the-game consensus underscores Stripe's preference for staying private amid robust payment volume growth nearing $2 trillion annually. A sudden SEC registration or accelerated timeline amid open IPO windows could challenge this positioning, though historical delays temper such expectations.
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
마켓 개설일: Sep 22, 2025, 8:17 PM ET
거래량
$152,220종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Sep 22, 2025, 8:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Polymarket traders price a 94% implied probability on no Stripe IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting co-founder John Collison's January statement dismissing any "rush" to public markets and the firm's February tender offer that boosted its private valuation to $159 billion—up over 70% year-over-year—while providing employee liquidity without listing pressures. Absent an S-1 filing or roadshow announcement now just 75 days from resolution, this skin-in-the-game consensus underscores Stripe's preference for staying private amid robust payment volume growth nearing $2 trillion annually. A sudden SEC registration or accelerated timeline amid open IPO windows could challenge this positioning, though historical delays temper such expectations.
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
거래량
$152,220종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Sep 22, 2025, 8:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a 94% implied probability on no Stripe IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting co-founder John Collison's January statement dismissing any "rush" to public markets and the firm's February tender offer that boosted its private valuation to $159 billion—up over 70% year-over-year—while providing employee liquidity without listing pressures. Absent an S-1 filing or roadshow announcement now just 75 days from resolution, this skin-in-the-game consensus underscores Stripe's preference for staying private amid robust payment volume growth nearing $2 trillion annually. A sudden SEC registration or accelerated timeline amid open IPO windows could challenge this positioning, though historical delays temper such expectations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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