Incumbent Republican Governor Greg Abbott's easy victory in the March 3 Republican primary has reinforced trader consensus on a Republican win at 78.5% implied probability in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial race, pitting him against Democratic nominee State Rep. Gina Hinojosa. Polls from early 2026, such as the RealClearPolling average (Abbott 49.5%-42.0%) and University of Houston (49%-42%), underscore his double-digit leads amid Texas' status as a Republican stronghold, where Democrats last held the governorship in 1994. Abbott's fundraising edge and incumbency advantages on border security and economic growth sustain this positioning, though the November 3 general election leaves room for shifts via debates, turnout dynamics, or unforeseen scandals.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican
78%
Democrat
18%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican
$4,807 거래량
78%
Democrat
$5,007 거래량
18%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Governor Greg Abbott's easy victory in the March 3 Republican primary has reinforced trader consensus on a Republican win at 78.5% implied probability in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial race, pitting him against Democratic nominee State Rep. Gina Hinojosa. Polls from early 2026, such as the RealClearPolling average (Abbott 49.5%-42.0%) and University of Houston (49%-42%), underscore his double-digit leads amid Texas' status as a Republican stronghold, where Democrats last held the governorship in 1994. Abbott's fundraising edge and incumbency advantages on border security and economic growth sustain this positioning, though the November 3 general election leaves room for shifts via debates, turnout dynamics, or unforeseen scandals.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
거래량
$9,815종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Governor Greg Abbott's easy victory in the March 3 Republican primary has reinforced trader consensus on a Republican win at 78.5% implied probability in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial race, pitting him against Democratic nominee State Rep. Gina Hinojosa. Polls from early 2026, such as the RealClearPolling average (Abbott 49.5%-42.0%) and University of Houston (49%-42%), underscore his double-digit leads amid Texas' status as a Republican stronghold, where Democrats last held the governorship in 1994. Abbott's fundraising edge and incumbency advantages on border security and economic growth sustain this positioning, though the November 3 general election leaves room for shifts via debates, turnout dynamics, or unforeseen scandals.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$9,815종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Governor Greg Abbott's easy victory in the March 3 Republican primary has reinforced trader consensus on a Republican win at 78.5% implied probability in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial race, pitting him against Democratic nominee State Rep. Gina Hinojosa. Polls from early 2026, such as the RealClearPolling average (Abbott 49.5%-42.0%) and University of Houston (49%-42%), underscore his double-digit leads amid Texas' status as a Republican stronghold, where Democrats last held the governorship in 1994. Abbott's fundraising edge and incumbency advantages on border security and economic growth sustain this positioning, though the November 3 general election leaves room for shifts via debates, turnout dynamics, or unforeseen scandals.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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