Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires in mid-May 2026, anchoring trader consensus around the May 15–22 window at 100 percent. No verified statements or actions from the White House, Senate, or Powell himself indicate an earlier departure, while the statutory four-year term structure and historical precedent of chairs serving full terms limit alternatives. This pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing low near-term risk of resignation, removal, or health-related exit before the scheduled date. Late developments such as an unanticipated presidential decision, Senate pressure, or personal circumstances could still shift timing within the resolution period.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트May 15–22 100.0%
Before May 15 <1%
May 23–29 <1%
May 30–June 5 <1%
$303,232 거래량
$303,232 거래량
2026.07.03
Before May 15
No
May 15–22
Yes
May 23–29
No
May 30–June 5
No
June 6–12
No
June 13–19
No
June 20–26
No
June 27–July 3
No
After July 3
No
May 15–22 100.0%
Before May 15 <1%
May 23–29 <1%
May 30–June 5 <1%
$303,232 거래량
$303,232 거래량
2026.07.03
Before May 15
$36,952 거래량
No
May 15–22
$141,224 거래량
Yes
May 23–29
$25,809 거래량
No
May 30–June 5
$19,292 거래량
No
June 6–12
$13,359 거래량
No
June 13–19
$11,235 거래량
No
June 20–26
$15,267 거래량
No
June 27–July 3
$17,147 거래량
No
After July 3
$22,948 거래량
No
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires in mid-May 2026, anchoring trader consensus around the May 15–22 window at 100 percent. No verified statements or actions from the White House, Senate, or Powell himself indicate an earlier departure, while the statutory four-year term structure and historical precedent of chairs serving full terms limit alternatives. This pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing low near-term risk of resignation, removal, or health-related exit before the scheduled date. Late developments such as an unanticipated presidential decision, Senate pressure, or personal circumstances could still shift timing within the resolution period.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
거래량
$303,232종료일
2026.07.03마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires in mid-May 2026, anchoring trader consensus around the May 15–22 window at 100 percent. No verified statements or actions from the White House, Senate, or Powell himself indicate an earlier departure, while the statutory four-year term structure and historical precedent of chairs serving full terms limit alternatives. This pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing low near-term risk of resignation, removal, or health-related exit before the scheduled date. Late developments such as an unanticipated presidential decision, Senate pressure, or personal circumstances could still shift timing within the resolution period.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$303,232종료일
2026.07.03마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires in mid-May 2026, anchoring trader consensus around the May 15–22 window at 100 percent. No verified statements or actions from the White House, Senate, or Powell himself indicate an earlier departure, while the statutory four-year term structure and historical precedent of chairs serving full terms limit alternatives. This pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing low near-term risk of resignation, removal, or health-related exit before the scheduled date. Late developments such as an unanticipated presidential decision, Senate pressure, or personal circumstances could still shift timing within the resolution period.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문