The competitive national environment in the 2026 House midterms, marked by Democratic generic ballot leads and a narrow Republican majority, is sustaining elevated expectations for voter participation. Primary and special election data through summer 2026 show stronger Democratic mobilization than Republican, echoing opposition energy patterns from 2018, while expanded mail and early voting options have raised the structural floor for turnout. Historical House midterm totals have clustered between roughly 100 million and 115 million votes in lower-enthusiasm cycles, with 2018 reaching higher amid similar polarization. Traders appear to weigh these factors against the typical post-presidential drop-off, producing tight pricing across the 115-130 million ranges as mobilization efforts, battleground district intensity, and base enthusiasm gaps remain fluid into the final weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano125-130m 23%
120-125m 19%
115-120m 18%
110-115m 14%
$28,236 Wol.
$28,236 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
<85m
1%
85-90m
<1%
90-95m
1%
95-100m
3%
100-105m
8%
105-110m
7%
110-115m
14%
115-120m
18%
120-125m
19%
125-130m
23%
130m+
5%
125-130m 23%
120-125m 19%
115-120m 18%
110-115m 14%
$28,236 Wol.
$28,236 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
<85m
$603 Wol.
1%
85-90m
$609 Wol.
<1%
90-95m
$1,723 Wol.
1%
95-100m
$380 Wol.
3%
100-105m
$1,195 Wol.
8%
105-110m
$931 Wol.
7%
110-115m
$4,475 Wol.
14%
115-120m
$4,662 Wol.
18%
120-125m
$8,991 Wol.
19%
125-130m
$3,301 Wol.
23%
130m+
$1,366 Wol.
5%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.The competitive national environment in the 2026 House midterms, marked by Democratic generic ballot leads and a narrow Republican majority, is sustaining elevated expectations for voter participation. Primary and special election data through summer 2026 show stronger Democratic mobilization than Republican, echoing opposition energy patterns from 2018, while expanded mail and early voting options have raised the structural floor for turnout. Historical House midterm totals have clustered between roughly 100 million and 115 million votes in lower-enthusiasm cycles, with 2018 reaching higher amid similar polarization. Traders appear to weigh these factors against the typical post-presidential drop-off, producing tight pricing across the 115-130 million ranges as mobilization efforts, battleground district intensity, and base enthusiasm gaps remain fluid into the final weeks.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Wolumen
$28,236Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.The competitive national environment in the 2026 House midterms, marked by Democratic generic ballot leads and a narrow Republican majority, is sustaining elevated expectations for voter participation. Primary and special election data through summer 2026 show stronger Democratic mobilization than Republican, echoing opposition energy patterns from 2018, while expanded mail and early voting options have raised the structural floor for turnout. Historical House midterm totals have clustered between roughly 100 million and 115 million votes in lower-enthusiasm cycles, with 2018 reaching higher amid similar polarization. Traders appear to weigh these factors against the typical post-presidential drop-off, producing tight pricing across the 115-130 million ranges as mobilization efforts, battleground district intensity, and base enthusiasm gaps remain fluid into the final weeks.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Wolumen
$28,236Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The competitive national environment in the 2026 House midterms, marked by Democratic generic ballot leads and a narrow Republican majority, is sustaining elevated expectations for voter participation. Primary and special election data through summer 2026 show stronger Democratic mobilization than Republican, echoing opposition energy patterns from 2018, while expanded mail and early voting options have raised the structural floor for turnout. Historical House midterm totals have clustered between roughly 100 million and 115 million votes in lower-enthusiasm cycles, with 2018 reaching higher amid similar polarization. Traders appear to weigh these factors against the typical post-presidential drop-off, producing tight pricing across the 115-130 million ranges as mobilization efforts, battleground district intensity, and base enthusiasm gaps remain fluid into the final weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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