Incumbent Democrat Norma Torres commands trader consensus at 92.5% to win California's 35th Congressional District House seat, reflecting her repeated victories over Republican challenger Mike Cargile—including a 58.4%-41.6% general election margin in 2024 despite the district's rightward swing among Latino voters—and a dominant fundraising edge with $381,000 cash on hand versus Cargile's $2,500 as of March 31. Rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report (D+6 PVI), the race features California's top-two primary on June 2, where Torres advanced strongly last cycle at 48%. No polling exists yet, but the matchup mirrors prior cycles. Upsets could arise from a GOP primary surge, midterm Republican wave, or Torres scandal, health event, or withdrawal.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCA-35 House Election Winner
CA-35 House Election Winner
$16,632 Wol.
$16,632 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$16,632 Wol.
$16,632 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$10,849 Wol.
93%
Republican Party
$5,783 Wol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Norma Torres commands trader consensus at 92.5% to win California's 35th Congressional District House seat, reflecting her repeated victories over Republican challenger Mike Cargile—including a 58.4%-41.6% general election margin in 2024 despite the district's rightward swing among Latino voters—and a dominant fundraising edge with $381,000 cash on hand versus Cargile's $2,500 as of March 31. Rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report (D+6 PVI), the race features California's top-two primary on June 2, where Torres advanced strongly last cycle at 48%. No polling exists yet, but the matchup mirrors prior cycles. Upsets could arise from a GOP primary surge, midterm Republican wave, or Torres scandal, health event, or withdrawal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$16,632Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Norma Torres commands trader consensus at 92.5% to win California's 35th Congressional District House seat, reflecting her repeated victories over Republican challenger Mike Cargile—including a 58.4%-41.6% general election margin in 2024 despite the district's rightward swing among Latino voters—and a dominant fundraising edge with $381,000 cash on hand versus Cargile's $2,500 as of March 31. Rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report (D+6 PVI), the race features California's top-two primary on June 2, where Torres advanced strongly last cycle at 48%. No polling exists yet, but the matchup mirrors prior cycles. Upsets could arise from a GOP primary surge, midterm Republican wave, or Torres scandal, health event, or withdrawal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$16,632Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Norma Torres commands trader consensus at 92.5% to win California's 35th Congressional District House seat, reflecting her repeated victories over Republican challenger Mike Cargile—including a 58.4%-41.6% general election margin in 2024 despite the district's rightward swing among Latino voters—and a dominant fundraising edge with $381,000 cash on hand versus Cargile's $2,500 as of March 31. Rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report (D+6 PVI), the race features California's top-two primary on June 2, where Torres advanced strongly last cycle at 48%. No polling exists yet, but the matchup mirrors prior cycles. Upsets could arise from a GOP primary surge, midterm Republican wave, or Torres scandal, health event, or withdrawal.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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