Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a 100% implied probability for a 27°C high temperature in Beijing on April 21, driven by real-time observations at the official resolution station—Beijing Capital International Airport—showing afternoon peaks reaching exactly 27°C under clear skies and light winds (2-13 mph). This marks a rebound from the past week's highs of 20-23°C amid northerly flows and partial cloudiness, as reported by the China Meteorological Administration (CMA); today's persistent solar heating, aligned with spring climatology where clear late-April days often exceed the 22°C monthly average, supports this positioning per CMA model consensus and AccuWeather's 78-79°F (26°C) guidance. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-afternoon surge before diurnal cooling post-5 PM Beijing time, with final CMA observations pending resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Beijing on April 21?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 21?
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$136,409 Wol.
$136,409 Wol.
Apr 21, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$136,409 Wol.
$136,409 Wol.
Apr 21, 2026
22°C or below
$15,977 Wol.
No
23°C
$11,404 Wol.
No
24°C
$11,404 Wol.
No
25°C
$18,816 Wol.
No
26°C
$12,038 Wol.
No
27°C
$20,378 Wol.
Yes
28°C
$14,733 Wol.
No
29°C
$15,234 Wol.
No
30°C
$9,222 Wol.
No
31°C
$4,501 Wol.
No
32°C or higher
$2,702 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a 100% implied probability for a 27°C high temperature in Beijing on April 21, driven by real-time observations at the official resolution station—Beijing Capital International Airport—showing afternoon peaks reaching exactly 27°C under clear skies and light winds (2-13 mph). This marks a rebound from the past week's highs of 20-23°C amid northerly flows and partial cloudiness, as reported by the China Meteorological Administration (CMA); today's persistent solar heating, aligned with spring climatology where clear late-April days often exceed the 22°C monthly average, supports this positioning per CMA model consensus and AccuWeather's 78-79°F (26°C) guidance. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-afternoon surge before diurnal cooling post-5 PM Beijing time, with final CMA observations pending resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 19, 2026, 12:54 AM ET
Wolumen
$136,409Data zakończenia
Apr 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 19, 2026, 12:54 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a 100% implied probability for a 27°C high temperature in Beijing on April 21, driven by real-time observations at the official resolution station—Beijing Capital International Airport—showing afternoon peaks reaching exactly 27°C under clear skies and light winds (2-13 mph). This marks a rebound from the past week's highs of 20-23°C amid northerly flows and partial cloudiness, as reported by the China Meteorological Administration (CMA); today's persistent solar heating, aligned with spring climatology where clear late-April days often exceed the 22°C monthly average, supports this positioning per CMA model consensus and AccuWeather's 78-79°F (26°C) guidance. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-afternoon surge before diurnal cooling post-5 PM Beijing time, with final CMA observations pending resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$136,409Data zakończenia
Apr 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 19, 2026, 12:54 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a 100% implied probability for a 27°C high temperature in Beijing on April 21, driven by real-time observations at the official resolution station—Beijing Capital International Airport—showing afternoon peaks reaching exactly 27°C under clear skies and light winds (2-13 mph). This marks a rebound from the past week's highs of 20-23°C amid northerly flows and partial cloudiness, as reported by the China Meteorological Administration (CMA); today's persistent solar heating, aligned with spring climatology where clear late-April days often exceed the 22°C monthly average, supports this positioning per CMA model consensus and AccuWeather's 78-79°F (26°C) guidance. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-afternoon surge before diurnal cooling post-5 PM Beijing time, with final CMA observations pending resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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