Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Ministro Pistarini International Airport—the designated station for Buenos Aires temperature records—confirm the highest temperature on May 12 reached exactly 22°C, peaking around midday amid partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and typical late-autumn atmospheric stability. This measurement, captured via standard shaded thermometers at 1.5 meters, aligns with forecast model consensus from the prior day predicting highs near 20–21°C, slightly exceeded due to enhanced solar insolation and reduced cloud cover. Trader consensus reflects this verified data with near-certainty (100% implied probability on 22°C), embodying skin-in-the-game alignment with observational evidence. Realistic challenges include rare SMN quality-control revisions from instrument calibration discrepancies or metadata errors, though historical audit rates for daily maxima remain below 0.1%. Final SMN bulletin expected within 24 hours.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 12?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 12?
22°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$65,964 Wol.
$65,964 Wol.
May 12, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$65,964 Wol.
$65,964 Wol.
May 12, 2026
13°C or below
$1,546 Wol.
No
14°C
$610 Wol.
No
15°C
$1,270 Wol.
No
16°C
$4,233 Wol.
No
17°C
$6,881 Wol.
No
18°C
$5,720 Wol.
No
19°C
$6,018 Wol.
No
20°C
$8,138 Wol.
No
21°C
$4,735 Wol.
No
22°C
$10,509 Wol.
Yes
23°C or higher
$16,304 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Ministro Pistarini International Airport—the designated station for Buenos Aires temperature records—confirm the highest temperature on May 12 reached exactly 22°C, peaking around midday amid partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and typical late-autumn atmospheric stability. This measurement, captured via standard shaded thermometers at 1.5 meters, aligns with forecast model consensus from the prior day predicting highs near 20–21°C, slightly exceeded due to enhanced solar insolation and reduced cloud cover. Trader consensus reflects this verified data with near-certainty (100% implied probability on 22°C), embodying skin-in-the-game alignment with observational evidence. Realistic challenges include rare SMN quality-control revisions from instrument calibration discrepancies or metadata errors, though historical audit rates for daily maxima remain below 0.1%. Final SMN bulletin expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 10, 2026, 12:51 AM ET
Wolumen
$65,964Data zakończenia
May 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 10, 2026, 12:51 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Ministro Pistarini International Airport—the designated station for Buenos Aires temperature records—confirm the highest temperature on May 12 reached exactly 22°C, peaking around midday amid partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and typical late-autumn atmospheric stability. This measurement, captured via standard shaded thermometers at 1.5 meters, aligns with forecast model consensus from the prior day predicting highs near 20–21°C, slightly exceeded due to enhanced solar insolation and reduced cloud cover. Trader consensus reflects this verified data with near-certainty (100% implied probability on 22°C), embodying skin-in-the-game alignment with observational evidence. Realistic challenges include rare SMN quality-control revisions from instrument calibration discrepancies or metadata errors, though historical audit rates for daily maxima remain below 0.1%. Final SMN bulletin expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$65,964Data zakończenia
May 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 10, 2026, 12:51 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Ministro Pistarini International Airport—the designated station for Buenos Aires temperature records—confirm the highest temperature on May 12 reached exactly 22°C, peaking around midday amid partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and typical late-autumn atmospheric stability. This measurement, captured via standard shaded thermometers at 1.5 meters, aligns with forecast model consensus from the prior day predicting highs near 20–21°C, slightly exceeded due to enhanced solar insolation and reduced cloud cover. Trader consensus reflects this verified data with near-certainty (100% implied probability on 22°C), embodying skin-in-the-game alignment with observational evidence. Realistic challenges include rare SMN quality-control revisions from instrument calibration discrepancies or metadata errors, though historical audit rates for daily maxima remain below 0.1%. Final SMN bulletin expected within 24 hours.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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