Recent National Weather Service model guidance and ensemble runs indicate a high near 84–86°F for Chicago on August 7, driven by moderate southerly flow advecting warmer air under partly to mostly sunny skies with limited cloud cover. Lake Michigan's thermal moderation and potential afternoon lake breeze remain key variables that could cap the maximum by 1–3°F depending on wind direction and timing, while historical August normals of 83.5°F provide context for the current slightly above-average setup. Short-range forecast uncertainty from differing model solutions on boundary-layer mixing and any weak frontal passage explains the tight clustering between the 84–85°F and 86–87°F market outcomes, with final resolution hinging on official observations at Midway International Airport.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chicago on August 7?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 7?
86-87°F 39%
84-85°F 35%
88-89°F 17%
82-83°F 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 7, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
10%
84-85°F
35%
86-87°F
39%
88-89°F
17%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 39%
84-85°F 35%
88-89°F 17%
82-83°F 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 7, 2026
75°F or below
$198 Wol.
<1%
76-77°F
$393 Wol.
<1%
78-79°F
$86 Wol.
2%
80-81°F
$86 Wol.
3%
82-83°F
$285 Wol.
10%
84-85°F
$473 Wol.
35%
86-87°F
$535 Wol.
39%
88-89°F
$74 Wol.
17%
90-91°F
$120 Wol.
4%
92-93°F
$52 Wol.
1%
94°F or higher
$80 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model guidance and ensemble runs indicate a high near 84–86°F for Chicago on August 7, driven by moderate southerly flow advecting warmer air under partly to mostly sunny skies with limited cloud cover. Lake Michigan's thermal moderation and potential afternoon lake breeze remain key variables that could cap the maximum by 1–3°F depending on wind direction and timing, while historical August normals of 83.5°F provide context for the current slightly above-average setup. Short-range forecast uncertainty from differing model solutions on boundary-layer mixing and any weak frontal passage explains the tight clustering between the 84–85°F and 86–87°F market outcomes, with final resolution hinging on official observations at Midway International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Wolumen
$2,382Data zakończenia
Aug 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model guidance and ensemble runs indicate a high near 84–86°F for Chicago on August 7, driven by moderate southerly flow advecting warmer air under partly to mostly sunny skies with limited cloud cover. Lake Michigan's thermal moderation and potential afternoon lake breeze remain key variables that could cap the maximum by 1–3°F depending on wind direction and timing, while historical August normals of 83.5°F provide context for the current slightly above-average setup. Short-range forecast uncertainty from differing model solutions on boundary-layer mixing and any weak frontal passage explains the tight clustering between the 84–85°F and 86–87°F market outcomes, with final resolution hinging on official observations at Midway International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,382Data zakończenia
Aug 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service model guidance and ensemble runs indicate a high near 84–86°F for Chicago on August 7, driven by moderate southerly flow advecting warmer air under partly to mostly sunny skies with limited cloud cover. Lake Michigan's thermal moderation and potential afternoon lake breeze remain key variables that could cap the maximum by 1–3°F depending on wind direction and timing, while historical August normals of 83.5°F provide context for the current slightly above-average setup. Short-range forecast uncertainty from differing model solutions on boundary-layer mixing and any weak frontal passage explains the tight clustering between the 84–85°F and 86–87°F market outcomes, with final resolution hinging on official observations at Midway International Airport.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania