Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm the highest air temperature reached 28°C at the Observatory headquarters on April 21, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from HKO's 9-day outlook, which projected daytime highs of 25-28°C amid a southerly airstream bringing warm, humid conditions typical for late April in the region, where historical April maxima average around 26-27°C. Model consensus had converged on this range in the final 24 hours, reflecting stable atmospheric patterns with low cloud cover and moderate winds. Realistic challenges are minimal post-measurement—only a rare official data revision due to sensor calibration issues or higher reading from a secondary station could alter it, though HKO headquarters data governs resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on April 21?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 21?
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$425,347 Wol.
$425,347 Wol.
Apr 21, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$425,347 Wol.
$425,347 Wol.
Apr 21, 2026
21°C or below
$11,131 Wol.
No
22°C
$4,287 Wol.
No
23°C
$3,222 Wol.
No
24°C
$10,874 Wol.
No
25°C
$19,353 Wol.
No
26°C
$29,334 Wol.
No
27°C
$44,443 Wol.
No
28°C
$118,998 Wol.
Yes
29°C
$85,734 Wol.
No
30°C
$54,723 Wol.
No
31°C or higher
$43,247 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm the highest air temperature reached 28°C at the Observatory headquarters on April 21, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from HKO's 9-day outlook, which projected daytime highs of 25-28°C amid a southerly airstream bringing warm, humid conditions typical for late April in the region, where historical April maxima average around 26-27°C. Model consensus had converged on this range in the final 24 hours, reflecting stable atmospheric patterns with low cloud cover and moderate winds. Realistic challenges are minimal post-measurement—only a rare official data revision due to sensor calibration issues or higher reading from a secondary station could alter it, though HKO headquarters data governs resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Wolumen
$425,347Data zakończenia
Apr 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm the highest air temperature reached 28°C at the Observatory headquarters on April 21, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from HKO's 9-day outlook, which projected daytime highs of 25-28°C amid a southerly airstream bringing warm, humid conditions typical for late April in the region, where historical April maxima average around 26-27°C. Model consensus had converged on this range in the final 24 hours, reflecting stable atmospheric patterns with low cloud cover and moderate winds. Realistic challenges are minimal post-measurement—only a rare official data revision due to sensor calibration issues or higher reading from a secondary station could alter it, though HKO headquarters data governs resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$425,347Data zakończenia
Apr 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm the highest air temperature reached 28°C at the Observatory headquarters on April 21, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from HKO's 9-day outlook, which projected daytime highs of 25-28°C amid a southerly airstream bringing warm, humid conditions typical for late April in the region, where historical April maxima average around 26-27°C. Model consensus had converged on this range in the final 24 hours, reflecting stable atmospheric patterns with low cloud cover and moderate winds. Realistic challenges are minimal post-measurement—only a rare official data revision due to sensor calibration issues or higher reading from a secondary station could alter it, though HKO headquarters data governs resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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