Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and international sources indicate a maximum temperature near 29°C on June 18, 2026, driven by scattered thunderstorms and showers that limit daytime heating in Hong Kong’s humid subtropical climate. Seasonal outlooks project above-normal June temperatures overall, yet the immediate pattern features cloud cover and precipitation that typically caps peaks 1–2°C below the monthly average of 29–31°C. Recent model consensus shows limited upward revision potential unless clearer skies develop, keeping 28–30°C outcomes dominant while rarer extremes remain improbable given current steering patterns and moisture.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 18?
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$328,426 Wol.
$328,426 Wol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$328,426 Wol.
$328,426 Wol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 16, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and international sources indicate a maximum temperature near 29°C on June 18, 2026, driven by scattered thunderstorms and showers that limit daytime heating in Hong Kong’s humid subtropical climate. Seasonal outlooks project above-normal June temperatures overall, yet the immediate pattern features cloud cover and precipitation that typically caps peaks 1–2°C below the monthly average of 29–31°C. Recent model consensus shows limited upward revision potential unless clearer skies develop, keeping 28–30°C outcomes dominant while rarer extremes remain improbable given current steering patterns and moisture.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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