Recent short-range forecasts from sources including the BBC and AccuWeather place Jeddah’s June 24 daytime maximum near 34–36 °C, aligning with the market’s tightly bunched leading outcomes around 35–37 °C. Coastal sea-breeze effects from the Red Sea, combined with high pressure and predominantly clear skies, moderate peak heating while allowing strong diurnal warming under intense June insolation. Small differences in predicted wind speed, boundary-layer moisture, or minor model spread in the GFS and ECMWF runs can shift the exact maximum by 1–2 °C, explaining why 35 °C, 36 °C, and 37 °C each carry nearly equal implied probability and why 38 °C or higher remains a lower-probability tail outcome. Updated model guidance through the next 48 hours will likely narrow this range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Jeddah on June 24?
36°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$39,899 Wol.
$39,899 Wol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$39,899 Wol.
$39,899 Wol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 22, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent short-range forecasts from sources including the BBC and AccuWeather place Jeddah’s June 24 daytime maximum near 34–36 °C, aligning with the market’s tightly bunched leading outcomes around 35–37 °C. Coastal sea-breeze effects from the Red Sea, combined with high pressure and predominantly clear skies, moderate peak heating while allowing strong diurnal warming under intense June insolation. Small differences in predicted wind speed, boundary-layer moisture, or minor model spread in the GFS and ECMWF runs can shift the exact maximum by 1–2 °C, explaining why 35 °C, 36 °C, and 37 °C each carry nearly equal implied probability and why 38 °C or higher remains a lower-probability tail outcome. Updated model guidance through the next 48 hours will likely narrow this range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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