Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow on September 15 project a maximum of 33°C under partly cloudy skies with one or two spells of rain or thundershowers, consistent with the market's leading 52.5% implied probability for that threshold. Persistent monsoon moisture, elevated humidity near 80%, and scattered convective activity are moderating daytime heating despite seasonal norms around 34°C. A regional rainfall deficit through early September has limited stronger cooling, while model consensus from multiple sources clusters highs between 32–33°C. Traders appear to weigh these near-term conditions and the absence of clear-sky intensification against potential forecast revisions ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 15?
33°C 53%
32°C 24%
34°C 20%
31°C 5%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
5%
32°C
24%
33°C
53%
34°C
20%
35°C
4%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 53%
32°C 24%
34°C 20%
31°C 5%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
5%
32°C
24%
33°C
53%
34°C
20%
35°C
4%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow on September 15 project a maximum of 33°C under partly cloudy skies with one or two spells of rain or thundershowers, consistent with the market's leading 52.5% implied probability for that threshold. Persistent monsoon moisture, elevated humidity near 80%, and scattered convective activity are moderating daytime heating despite seasonal norms around 34°C. A regional rainfall deficit through early September has limited stronger cooling, while model consensus from multiple sources clusters highs between 32–33°C. Traders appear to weigh these near-term conditions and the absence of clear-sky intensification against potential forecast revisions ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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