PAGASA's official observations from its Science Garden station in Quezon City—the benchmark for Metro Manila temperatures—confirm a peak of 37°C on April 29 amid easterlies fostering clear skies and high solar heating, aligning with market-implied 100% odds for this outcome. Intraday automated data showed 36.1–36.7°C at nearby stations like NAIA and Sangley Point by mid-afternoon, capping below 38°C due to modest humidity (around 60%) and no convective activity, consistent with April climatology where highs average 34°C but routinely hit 37°C under anticyclonic conditions. Trader consensus reflects this verified data over earlier 36°C forecasts. A late-day urban heat island surge or rare data adjustment could challenge it, though peaks typically occur by 3 PM with resolution via PAGASA's evening bulletin.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Manila on April 29?
Highest temperature in Manila on April 29?
37°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$43,646 Wol.
$43,646 Wol.
Apr 29, 2026
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
37°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$43,646 Wol.
$43,646 Wol.
Apr 29, 2026
30°C or below
$1,149 Wol.
No
31°C
$1,191 Wol.
No
32°C
$2,807 Wol.
No
33°C
$2,724 Wol.
No
34°C
$3,882 Wol.
No
35°C
$1,710 Wol.
No
36°C
$6,589 Wol.
No
37°C
$8,962 Wol.
Yes
38°C
$7,446 Wol.
No
39°C
$1,940 Wol.
No
40°C or higher
$5,247 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's official observations from its Science Garden station in Quezon City—the benchmark for Metro Manila temperatures—confirm a peak of 37°C on April 29 amid easterlies fostering clear skies and high solar heating, aligning with market-implied 100% odds for this outcome. Intraday automated data showed 36.1–36.7°C at nearby stations like NAIA and Sangley Point by mid-afternoon, capping below 38°C due to modest humidity (around 60%) and no convective activity, consistent with April climatology where highs average 34°C but routinely hit 37°C under anticyclonic conditions. Trader consensus reflects this verified data over earlier 36°C forecasts. A late-day urban heat island surge or rare data adjustment could challenge it, though peaks typically occur by 3 PM with resolution via PAGASA's evening bulletin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 27, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Wolumen
$43,646Data zakończenia
Apr 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 27, 2026, 12:13 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's official observations from its Science Garden station in Quezon City—the benchmark for Metro Manila temperatures—confirm a peak of 37°C on April 29 amid easterlies fostering clear skies and high solar heating, aligning with market-implied 100% odds for this outcome. Intraday automated data showed 36.1–36.7°C at nearby stations like NAIA and Sangley Point by mid-afternoon, capping below 38°C due to modest humidity (around 60%) and no convective activity, consistent with April climatology where highs average 34°C but routinely hit 37°C under anticyclonic conditions. Trader consensus reflects this verified data over earlier 36°C forecasts. A late-day urban heat island surge or rare data adjustment could challenge it, though peaks typically occur by 3 PM with resolution via PAGASA's evening bulletin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$43,646Data zakończenia
Apr 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 27, 2026, 12:13 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
PAGASA's official observations from its Science Garden station in Quezon City—the benchmark for Metro Manila temperatures—confirm a peak of 37°C on April 29 amid easterlies fostering clear skies and high solar heating, aligning with market-implied 100% odds for this outcome. Intraday automated data showed 36.1–36.7°C at nearby stations like NAIA and Sangley Point by mid-afternoon, capping below 38°C due to modest humidity (around 60%) and no convective activity, consistent with April climatology where highs average 34°C but routinely hit 37°C under anticyclonic conditions. Trader consensus reflects this verified data over earlier 36°C forecasts. A late-day urban heat island surge or rare data adjustment could challenge it, though peaks typically occur by 3 PM with resolution via PAGASA's evening bulletin.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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