Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 27°C or higher in Mexico City today, with market-implied odds at 100%, driven by official forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projecting maxima of 31–34°C amid an intensifying heat wave affecting the region. Clear skies, persistent high-pressure systems, and dry-season conditions—typical for late April, when average highs hover around 26–28°C—support rapid daytime heating at Benito Juárez International Airport's official station, the market's resolution source. Recent observations confirm the trend, with yesterday's highs exceeding 30°C. Realistic challenges include sudden cloud cover, gusty winds, or unforecasted showers shifting steering patterns, though model consensus shows low probability before evening cooldowns. Hourly SMN updates will refine this as the day unfolds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 28?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 28?
27°C or higher 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$44,677 Wol.
$44,677 Wol.
Apr 28, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
Yes
27°C or higher 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$44,677 Wol.
$44,677 Wol.
Apr 28, 2026
17°C or below
$7,103 Wol.
No
18°C
$1,271 Wol.
No
19°C
$1,518 Wol.
No
20°C
$1,229 Wol.
No
21°C
$2,119 Wol.
No
22°C
$1,137 Wol.
No
23°C
$9,283 Wol.
No
24°C
$3,089 Wol.
No
25°C
$3,844 Wol.
No
26°C
$6,602 Wol.
No
27°C or higher
$7,483 Wol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 27°C or higher in Mexico City today, with market-implied odds at 100%, driven by official forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projecting maxima of 31–34°C amid an intensifying heat wave affecting the region. Clear skies, persistent high-pressure systems, and dry-season conditions—typical for late April, when average highs hover around 26–28°C—support rapid daytime heating at Benito Juárez International Airport's official station, the market's resolution source. Recent observations confirm the trend, with yesterday's highs exceeding 30°C. Realistic challenges include sudden cloud cover, gusty winds, or unforecasted showers shifting steering patterns, though model consensus shows low probability before evening cooldowns. Hourly SMN updates will refine this as the day unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 26, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$44,677Data zakończenia
Apr 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 26, 2026, 12:09 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 27°C or higher in Mexico City today, with market-implied odds at 100%, driven by official forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projecting maxima of 31–34°C amid an intensifying heat wave affecting the region. Clear skies, persistent high-pressure systems, and dry-season conditions—typical for late April, when average highs hover around 26–28°C—support rapid daytime heating at Benito Juárez International Airport's official station, the market's resolution source. Recent observations confirm the trend, with yesterday's highs exceeding 30°C. Realistic challenges include sudden cloud cover, gusty winds, or unforecasted showers shifting steering patterns, though model consensus shows low probability before evening cooldowns. Hourly SMN updates will refine this as the day unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$44,677Data zakończenia
Apr 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 26, 2026, 12:09 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 27°C or higher in Mexico City today, with market-implied odds at 100%, driven by official forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projecting maxima of 31–34°C amid an intensifying heat wave affecting the region. Clear skies, persistent high-pressure systems, and dry-season conditions—typical for late April, when average highs hover around 26–28°C—support rapid daytime heating at Benito Juárez International Airport's official station, the market's resolution source. Recent observations confirm the trend, with yesterday's highs exceeding 30°C. Realistic challenges include sudden cloud cover, gusty winds, or unforecasted showers shifting steering patterns, though model consensus shows low probability before evening cooldowns. Hourly SMN updates will refine this as the day unfolds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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