Official Météo-France observations from the Charles de Gaulle Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm a peak temperature of 19°C on April 16, recorded around midday under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and no significant precipitation. This outcome matches pre-event ensemble forecast consensus from ECMWF and other models, which projected highs of 17–20°C amid a mild Atlantic airflow slightly boosting temperatures above Paris's April climatological average of 16°C. Trader sentiment at 100% implied probability reflects full alignment with these quality-controlled hourly measurements, underscoring prediction markets' efficiency in aggregating verified data. Realistic challenges are negligible but could arise from rare post hoc data audits revealing sensor errors, though Météo-France's validation processes minimize such risks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNajwyższa temperatura w Paryżu 16 kwietnia?
19°C 100.0%
13°C lub mniej <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$679,419 Wol.
$679,419 Wol.
13°C lub mniej
Nie
14°C
Nie
15°C
Nie
16°C
Nie
17°C
Nie
18°C
Nie
19°C
Tak
20°C
Nie
21°C
Nie
22°C
Nie
23°C lub więcej
Nie
19°C 100.0%
13°C lub mniej <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$679,419 Wol.
$679,419 Wol.
13°C lub mniej
Nie
14°C
Nie
15°C
Nie
16°C
Nie
17°C
Nie
18°C
Nie
19°C
Tak
20°C
Nie
21°C
Nie
22°C
Nie
23°C lub więcej
Nie
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Nie
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Nie
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Nie
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Nie
Official Météo-France observations from the Charles de Gaulle Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm a peak temperature of 19°C on April 16, recorded around midday under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and no significant precipitation. This outcome matches pre-event ensemble forecast consensus from ECMWF and other models, which projected highs of 17–20°C amid a mild Atlantic airflow slightly boosting temperatures above Paris's April climatological average of 16°C. Trader sentiment at 100% implied probability reflects full alignment with these quality-controlled hourly measurements, underscoring prediction markets' efficiency in aggregating verified data. Realistic challenges are negligible but could arise from rare post hoc data audits revealing sensor errors, though Météo-France's validation processes minimize such risks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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