Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 27°C in Qingdao on May 9, driven by official observations at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—peaking at 81°F (27°C) around noon local time. Clear skies, low humidity near 18%, and southerly winds gusting to 31 mph advected warm continental air over the Shandong Peninsula, enabling midday highs matching China Meteorological Administration forecasts of 27°C inland versus cooler coastal moderation. With sunset approaching at 6:52 PM and the diurnal cycle shifting temperatures downward, exceeding 27°C is improbable barring an anomalous late-afternoon heat burst, though final daily data awaits confirmation tomorrow.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Qingdao on May 9?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 9?
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$52,520 Wol.
$52,520 Wol.
May 9, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$52,520 Wol.
$52,520 Wol.
May 9, 2026
22°C or below
$18,815 Wol.
No
23°C
$4,396 Wol.
No
24°C
$6,806 Wol.
No
25°C
$1,633 Wol.
No
26°C
$2,141 Wol.
No
27°C
$10,075 Wol.
Yes
28°C
$2,439 Wol.
No
29°C
$1,890 Wol.
No
30°C
$2,455 Wol.
No
31°C
$995 Wol.
No
32°C or higher
$875 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 27°C in Qingdao on May 9, driven by official observations at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—peaking at 81°F (27°C) around noon local time. Clear skies, low humidity near 18%, and southerly winds gusting to 31 mph advected warm continental air over the Shandong Peninsula, enabling midday highs matching China Meteorological Administration forecasts of 27°C inland versus cooler coastal moderation. With sunset approaching at 6:52 PM and the diurnal cycle shifting temperatures downward, exceeding 27°C is improbable barring an anomalous late-afternoon heat burst, though final daily data awaits confirmation tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 7, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
Wolumen
$52,520Data zakończenia
May 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 7, 2026, 12:37 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 27°C in Qingdao on May 9, driven by official observations at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—peaking at 81°F (27°C) around noon local time. Clear skies, low humidity near 18%, and southerly winds gusting to 31 mph advected warm continental air over the Shandong Peninsula, enabling midday highs matching China Meteorological Administration forecasts of 27°C inland versus cooler coastal moderation. With sunset approaching at 6:52 PM and the diurnal cycle shifting temperatures downward, exceeding 27°C is improbable barring an anomalous late-afternoon heat burst, though final daily data awaits confirmation tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$52,520Data zakończenia
May 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 7, 2026, 12:37 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 27°C in Qingdao on May 9, driven by official observations at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—peaking at 81°F (27°C) around noon local time. Clear skies, low humidity near 18%, and southerly winds gusting to 31 mph advected warm continental air over the Shandong Peninsula, enabling midday highs matching China Meteorological Administration forecasts of 27°C inland versus cooler coastal moderation. With sunset approaching at 6:52 PM and the diurnal cycle shifting temperatures downward, exceeding 27°C is improbable barring an anomalous late-afternoon heat burst, though final daily data awaits confirmation tomorrow.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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