Official NOAA observations from Ben Gurion International Airport (LLBG), the authoritative station for Tel Aviv temperature records, confirm a maximum of 27°C on May 9, 2026, based on verified hourly METAR reports between 00:00 and 23:59 Israel time, driving the market-implied 100% probability for this outcome. This aligns with early May climatological norms of around 26°C highs along Israel's coastal plain, moderated by persistent northerly sea breezes and partly cloudy skies limiting solar heating. Trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game confidence in the finalized data, with negligible volume on higher bins. Realistic challenges are minimal, as only pre-finalization revisions could alter readings, per market rules; final data release solidifies resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 9?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 9?
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$73,458 Wol.
$73,458 Wol.
May 9, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$73,458 Wol.
$73,458 Wol.
May 9, 2026
21°C or below
$2,168 Wol.
No
22°C
$2,199 Wol.
No
23°C
$2,183 Wol.
No
24°C
$5,329 Wol.
No
25°C
$12,684 Wol.
No
26°C
$11,285 Wol.
No
27°C
$10,009 Wol.
Yes
28°C
$9,043 Wol.
No
29°C
$8,751 Wol.
No
30°C
$5,730 Wol.
No
31°C or higher
$4,077 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official NOAA observations from Ben Gurion International Airport (LLBG), the authoritative station for Tel Aviv temperature records, confirm a maximum of 27°C on May 9, 2026, based on verified hourly METAR reports between 00:00 and 23:59 Israel time, driving the market-implied 100% probability for this outcome. This aligns with early May climatological norms of around 26°C highs along Israel's coastal plain, moderated by persistent northerly sea breezes and partly cloudy skies limiting solar heating. Trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game confidence in the finalized data, with negligible volume on higher bins. Realistic challenges are minimal, as only pre-finalization revisions could alter readings, per market rules; final data release solidifies resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 7, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Wolumen
$73,458Data zakończenia
May 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 7, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official NOAA observations from Ben Gurion International Airport (LLBG), the authoritative station for Tel Aviv temperature records, confirm a maximum of 27°C on May 9, 2026, based on verified hourly METAR reports between 00:00 and 23:59 Israel time, driving the market-implied 100% probability for this outcome. This aligns with early May climatological norms of around 26°C highs along Israel's coastal plain, moderated by persistent northerly sea breezes and partly cloudy skies limiting solar heating. Trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game confidence in the finalized data, with negligible volume on higher bins. Realistic challenges are minimal, as only pre-finalization revisions could alter readings, per market rules; final data release solidifies resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$73,458Data zakończenia
May 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 7, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official NOAA observations from Ben Gurion International Airport (LLBG), the authoritative station for Tel Aviv temperature records, confirm a maximum of 27°C on May 9, 2026, based on verified hourly METAR reports between 00:00 and 23:59 Israel time, driving the market-implied 100% probability for this outcome. This aligns with early May climatological norms of around 26°C highs along Israel's coastal plain, moderated by persistent northerly sea breezes and partly cloudy skies limiting solar heating. Trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game confidence in the finalized data, with negligible volume on higher bins. Realistic challenges are minimal, as only pre-finalization revisions could alter readings, per market rules; final data release solidifies resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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