Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport, the market's resolution station, confirm the highest temperature on May 8 reached 12°C around 5:00 p.m. local time under partly sunny conditions with persistent cloud cover that suppressed solar heating despite short-range ECMWF and UK Met Office forecasts implying 13–14°C peaks. This aligns with IMGW reports of a cool air mass over Poland, yielding market-implied odds of 100% for 12°C as traders aggregate real-time data from airport METARs and station records. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions from official sources like IMGW, though highly unlikely post-verification; next hourly observations and daily summaries solidify the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Warsaw on May 8?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 8?
12°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$91,040 Wol.
$91,040 Wol.
May 8, 2026
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$91,040 Wol.
$91,040 Wol.
May 8, 2026
8°C or below
$738 Wol.
No
9°C
$1,271 Wol.
No
10°C
$2,234 Wol.
No
11°C
$6,695 Wol.
No
12°C
$12,295 Wol.
Yes
13°C
$13,393 Wol.
No
14°C
$21,968 Wol.
No
15°C
$11,371 Wol.
No
16°C
$7,036 Wol.
No
17°C
$6,967 Wol.
No
18°C or higher
$7,070 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport, the market's resolution station, confirm the highest temperature on May 8 reached 12°C around 5:00 p.m. local time under partly sunny conditions with persistent cloud cover that suppressed solar heating despite short-range ECMWF and UK Met Office forecasts implying 13–14°C peaks. This aligns with IMGW reports of a cool air mass over Poland, yielding market-implied odds of 100% for 12°C as traders aggregate real-time data from airport METARs and station records. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions from official sources like IMGW, though highly unlikely post-verification; next hourly observations and daily summaries solidify the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 6, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Wolumen
$91,040Data zakończenia
May 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 6, 2026, 12:08 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport, the market's resolution station, confirm the highest temperature on May 8 reached 12°C around 5:00 p.m. local time under partly sunny conditions with persistent cloud cover that suppressed solar heating despite short-range ECMWF and UK Met Office forecasts implying 13–14°C peaks. This aligns with IMGW reports of a cool air mass over Poland, yielding market-implied odds of 100% for 12°C as traders aggregate real-time data from airport METARs and station records. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions from official sources like IMGW, though highly unlikely post-verification; next hourly observations and daily summaries solidify the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$91,040Data zakończenia
May 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 6, 2026, 12:08 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport, the market's resolution station, confirm the highest temperature on May 8 reached 12°C around 5:00 p.m. local time under partly sunny conditions with persistent cloud cover that suppressed solar heating despite short-range ECMWF and UK Met Office forecasts implying 13–14°C peaks. This aligns with IMGW reports of a cool air mass over Poland, yielding market-implied odds of 100% for 12°C as traders aggregate real-time data from airport METARs and station records. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions from official sources like IMGW, though highly unlikely post-verification; next hourly observations and daily summaries solidify the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania