Converging forecasts from major models, including ECMWF and CMA runs, have locked in a 34°C peak for Wuhan on June 15 under stable high-pressure conditions with minimal cloud cover and light winds, driving the market's 100% consensus on that exact threshold. This aligns with mid-June climatology in the Yangtze River valley, where afternoon heating often pushes maxima 2–4°C above the 31°C seasonal average when subsidence dominates. Official monitoring by Chinese meteorological agencies will record the daily maximum from standardized stations, with little room for deviation given the tight model agreement observed in recent updates. Only an unexpected late-day thunderstorm or rapid advection of cooler air could realistically alter the outcome, though current observations show negligible risk of either.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wuhan on June 15?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 15?
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$60,759 Wol.
$60,759 Wol.
Jun 15, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$60,759 Wol.
$60,759 Wol.
Jun 15, 2026
27°C or below
$402 Wol.
No
28°C
$3,984 Wol.
No
29°C
$2,593 Wol.
No
30°C
$3,594 Wol.
No
31°C
$4,079 Wol.
No
32°C
$11,323 Wol.
No
33°C
$9,661 Wol.
No
34°C
$11,900 Wol.
Yes
35°C
$8,734 Wol.
No
36°C
$1,966 Wol.
No
37°C or higher
$2,521 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Converging forecasts from major models, including ECMWF and CMA runs, have locked in a 34°C peak for Wuhan on June 15 under stable high-pressure conditions with minimal cloud cover and light winds, driving the market's 100% consensus on that exact threshold. This aligns with mid-June climatology in the Yangtze River valley, where afternoon heating often pushes maxima 2–4°C above the 31°C seasonal average when subsidence dominates. Official monitoring by Chinese meteorological agencies will record the daily maximum from standardized stations, with little room for deviation given the tight model agreement observed in recent updates. Only an unexpected late-day thunderstorm or rapid advection of cooler air could realistically alter the outcome, though current observations show negligible risk of either.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Wolumen
$60,759Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Converging forecasts from major models, including ECMWF and CMA runs, have locked in a 34°C peak for Wuhan on June 15 under stable high-pressure conditions with minimal cloud cover and light winds, driving the market's 100% consensus on that exact threshold. This aligns with mid-June climatology in the Yangtze River valley, where afternoon heating often pushes maxima 2–4°C above the 31°C seasonal average when subsidence dominates. Official monitoring by Chinese meteorological agencies will record the daily maximum from standardized stations, with little room for deviation given the tight model agreement observed in recent updates. Only an unexpected late-day thunderstorm or rapid advection of cooler air could realistically alter the outcome, though current observations show negligible risk of either.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$60,759Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Converging forecasts from major models, including ECMWF and CMA runs, have locked in a 34°C peak for Wuhan on June 15 under stable high-pressure conditions with minimal cloud cover and light winds, driving the market's 100% consensus on that exact threshold. This aligns with mid-June climatology in the Yangtze River valley, where afternoon heating often pushes maxima 2–4°C above the 31°C seasonal average when subsidence dominates. Official monitoring by Chinese meteorological agencies will record the daily maximum from standardized stations, with little room for deviation given the tight model agreement observed in recent updates. Only an unexpected late-day thunderstorm or rapid advection of cooler air could realistically alter the outcome, though current observations show negligible risk of either.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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