Strong forecast consensus from multiple models shows Zhengzhou reaching a daytime high of 32–33°C on August 31 under clear, sunny skies with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover, allowing peak solar heating in the region’s late-summer regime. Official observations earlier in the period and historical late-August averages near 30°C further support temperatures comfortably clearing the 32°C threshold. This meteorological setup—stable high pressure, low humidity, and no precipitation—drives the 100% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher, reflecting traders’ assessment of verified observational and modeling data. Only an abrupt, unforecasted increase in cloud cover or a measurement anomaly at the official station could realistically alter the outcome before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 31?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 31?
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$7,505 Wol.
$7,505 Wol.
Aug 31, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$7,505 Wol.
$7,505 Wol.
Aug 31, 2026
22°C or below
$970 Wol.
No
23°C
$990 Wol.
No
24°C
$1,065 Wol.
No
25°C
$315 Wol.
No
26°C
$215 Wol.
No
27°C
$104 Wol.
No
28°C
$465 Wol.
No
29°C
$130 Wol.
No
30°C
$323 Wol.
No
31°C
$867 Wol.
No
32°C or higher
$2,061 Wol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong forecast consensus from multiple models shows Zhengzhou reaching a daytime high of 32–33°C on August 31 under clear, sunny skies with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover, allowing peak solar heating in the region’s late-summer regime. Official observations earlier in the period and historical late-August averages near 30°C further support temperatures comfortably clearing the 32°C threshold. This meteorological setup—stable high pressure, low humidity, and no precipitation—drives the 100% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher, reflecting traders’ assessment of verified observational and modeling data. Only an abrupt, unforecasted increase in cloud cover or a measurement anomaly at the official station could realistically alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$7,505Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong forecast consensus from multiple models shows Zhengzhou reaching a daytime high of 32–33°C on August 31 under clear, sunny skies with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover, allowing peak solar heating in the region’s late-summer regime. Official observations earlier in the period and historical late-August averages near 30°C further support temperatures comfortably clearing the 32°C threshold. This meteorological setup—stable high pressure, low humidity, and no precipitation—drives the 100% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher, reflecting traders’ assessment of verified observational and modeling data. Only an abrupt, unforecasted increase in cloud cover or a measurement anomaly at the official station could realistically alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$7,505Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Strong forecast consensus from multiple models shows Zhengzhou reaching a daytime high of 32–33°C on August 31 under clear, sunny skies with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover, allowing peak solar heating in the region’s late-summer regime. Official observations earlier in the period and historical late-August averages near 30°C further support temperatures comfortably clearing the 32°C threshold. This meteorological setup—stable high pressure, low humidity, and no precipitation—drives the 100% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher, reflecting traders’ assessment of verified observational and modeling data. Only an abrupt, unforecasted increase in cloud cover or a measurement anomaly at the official station could realistically alter the outcome before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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