Traders assign a 98.2% implied probability that Jerome Powell will not face imprisonment before 2027, reflecting the dismissal of the January 2026 DOJ inquiry into his Senate testimony on Federal Reserve renovations and the absence of any subsequent charges or credible legal exposure. Powell’s term as Chair concluded in May 2026 without conviction, and his ongoing role as governor until 2028 occurs amid standard institutional safeguards and due-process requirements that demand substantial evidence for incarceration of senior officials. While tail risks such as renewed politically motivated probes cannot be entirely ruled out, the lack of ongoing investigations or indictments supports the market’s strong consensus that conviction and imprisonment remain remote.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoJerome Powell in jail before 2027?
Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?
NOWE
NOWE
Dec 31, 2026
NOWE
NOWE
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Traders assign a 98.2% implied probability that Jerome Powell will not face imprisonment before 2027, reflecting the dismissal of the January 2026 DOJ inquiry into his Senate testimony on Federal Reserve renovations and the absence of any subsequent charges or credible legal exposure. Powell’s term as Chair concluded in May 2026 without conviction, and his ongoing role as governor until 2028 occurs amid standard institutional safeguards and due-process requirements that demand substantial evidence for incarceration of senior officials. While tail risks such as renewed politically motivated probes cannot be entirely ruled out, the lack of ongoing investigations or indictments supports the market’s strong consensus that conviction and imprisonment remain remote.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 12, 2026, 11:43 AM ET
Wolumen
$5,183Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 12, 2026, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Traders assign a 98.2% implied probability that Jerome Powell will not face imprisonment before 2027, reflecting the dismissal of the January 2026 DOJ inquiry into his Senate testimony on Federal Reserve renovations and the absence of any subsequent charges or credible legal exposure. Powell’s term as Chair concluded in May 2026 without conviction, and his ongoing role as governor until 2028 occurs amid standard institutional safeguards and due-process requirements that demand substantial evidence for incarceration of senior officials. While tail risks such as renewed politically motivated probes cannot be entirely ruled out, the lack of ongoing investigations or indictments supports the market’s strong consensus that conviction and imprisonment remain remote.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$5,183Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 12, 2026, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 98.2% implied probability that Jerome Powell will not face imprisonment before 2027, reflecting the dismissal of the January 2026 DOJ inquiry into his Senate testimony on Federal Reserve renovations and the absence of any subsequent charges or credible legal exposure. Powell’s term as Chair concluded in May 2026 without conviction, and his ongoing role as governor until 2028 occurs amid standard institutional safeguards and due-process requirements that demand substantial evidence for incarceration of senior officials. While tail risks such as renewed politically motivated probes cannot be entirely ruled out, the lack of ongoing investigations or indictments supports the market’s strong consensus that conviction and imprisonment remain remote.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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