The official @khamenei_ir account, now styled as statements from the martyred Leader, has maintained low posting volume since early 2026, typically releasing only a handful of archival quotes, commemorative images, or short videos per week. Recent July activity included isolated posts on the 4th, 9th, 18th, and 23rd, with similar spacing observed in June. No major diplomatic, military, or institutional events are scheduled in the immediate August 4–11 window that would prompt a surge in output. Trader pricing therefore places the highest implied probability on fewer than five posts, with the 5–9 range as the next most favored outcome and progressively lower odds attached to double-digit bins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoKhamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?
Khamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?
<5 70%
5-9 44%
10-14 40%
15-19 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 11, 2026
<5
70%
5-9
44%
10-14
40%
15-19
40%
20-24
6%
25-29
6%
30-34
-
35-39
-
40-44
42%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
<5 70%
5-9 44%
10-14 40%
15-19 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 11, 2026
<5
$0 Wol.
70%
5-9
$0 Wol.
44%
10-14
$0 Wol.
40%
15-19
$0 Wol.
40%
20-24
$10 Wol.
6%
25-29
$10 Wol.
6%
30-34
$10 Wol.
-
35-39
$10 Wol.
-
40-44
$20 Wol.
42%
45-49
$20 Wol.
1%
50-54
$20 Wol.
1%
55-59
$20 Wol.
1%
60+
$20 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The official @khamenei_ir account, now styled as statements from the martyred Leader, has maintained low posting volume since early 2026, typically releasing only a handful of archival quotes, commemorative images, or short videos per week. Recent July activity included isolated posts on the 4th, 9th, 18th, and 23rd, with similar spacing observed in June. No major diplomatic, military, or institutional events are scheduled in the immediate August 4–11 window that would prompt a surge in output. Trader pricing therefore places the highest implied probability on fewer than five posts, with the 5–9 range as the next most favored outcome and progressively lower odds attached to double-digit bins.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Wolumen
$140Data zakończenia
Aug 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The official @khamenei_ir account, now styled as statements from the martyred Leader, has maintained low posting volume since early 2026, typically releasing only a handful of archival quotes, commemorative images, or short videos per week. Recent July activity included isolated posts on the 4th, 9th, 18th, and 23rd, with similar spacing observed in June. No major diplomatic, military, or institutional events are scheduled in the immediate August 4–11 window that would prompt a surge in output. Trader pricing therefore places the highest implied probability on fewer than five posts, with the 5–9 range as the next most favored outcome and progressively lower odds attached to double-digit bins.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Wolumen
$140Data zakończenia
Aug 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...The official @khamenei_ir account, now styled as statements from the martyred Leader, has maintained low posting volume since early 2026, typically releasing only a handful of archival quotes, commemorative images, or short videos per week. Recent July activity included isolated posts on the 4th, 9th, 18th, and 23rd, with similar spacing observed in June. No major diplomatic, military, or institutional events are scheduled in the immediate August 4–11 window that would prompt a surge in output. Trader pricing therefore places the highest implied probability on fewer than five posts, with the 5–9 range as the next most favored outcome and progressively lower odds attached to double-digit bins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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