**Persistent mild, moist southwesterly flow under widespread cloud cover and light rain or showers is holding overnight temperatures in Amsterdam near 16–17 °C on 29 August 2026.** Official forecasts from the Met Office and multiple numerical models (GFS-based) show the daily minimum occurring in the early-morning hours, with readings stabilizing around 16–17 °C after a mild preceding day. Dew points near 14–15 °C and moderate winds (15–25 km/h) limit radiational cooling, preventing a sharper drop despite the late-summer date. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 15–17 °C because small differences in model timing of showers, exact wind backing, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the recorded minimum by 1 °C. Historical climatology for late August at Schiphol averages closer to 12–13 °C, but the current synoptic pattern—persistent Atlantic advection—has produced a several-degree positive anomaly that traders are pricing in. Updated model runs and official observations through the morning will be the key near-term catalysts for any further tightening of probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 29?
15°C 44%
17°C 40%
12°C or below 16%
14°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
12°C or below
16%
13°C
4%
14°C
5%
15°C
44%
16°C
41%
17°C
40%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
15°C 44%
17°C 40%
12°C or below 16%
14°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
12°C or below
$17 Wol.
16%
13°C
$72 Wol.
4%
14°C
$16 Wol.
5%
15°C
$0 Wol.
44%
16°C
$10 Wol.
41%
17°C
$12 Wol.
40%
18°C
$8,454 Wol.
1%
19°C
$20 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$25 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$45 Wol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$45 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent mild, moist southwesterly flow under widespread cloud cover and light rain or showers is holding overnight temperatures in Amsterdam near 16–17 °C on 29 August 2026.** Official forecasts from the Met Office and multiple numerical models (GFS-based) show the daily minimum occurring in the early-morning hours, with readings stabilizing around 16–17 °C after a mild preceding day. Dew points near 14–15 °C and moderate winds (15–25 km/h) limit radiational cooling, preventing a sharper drop despite the late-summer date.
Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 15–17 °C because small differences in model timing of showers, exact wind backing, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the recorded minimum by 1 °C. Historical climatology for late August at Schiphol averages closer to 12–13 °C, but the current synoptic pattern—persistent Atlantic advection—has produced a several-degree positive anomaly that traders are pricing in. Updated model runs and official observations through the morning will be the key near-term catalysts for any further tightening of probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$8,717Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent mild, moist southwesterly flow under widespread cloud cover and light rain or showers is holding overnight temperatures in Amsterdam near 16–17 °C on 29 August 2026.** Official forecasts from the Met Office and multiple numerical models (GFS-based) show the daily minimum occurring in the early-morning hours, with readings stabilizing around 16–17 °C after a mild preceding day. Dew points near 14–15 °C and moderate winds (15–25 km/h) limit radiational cooling, preventing a sharper drop despite the late-summer date.
Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 15–17 °C because small differences in model timing of showers, exact wind backing, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the recorded minimum by 1 °C. Historical climatology for late August at Schiphol averages closer to 12–13 °C, but the current synoptic pattern—persistent Atlantic advection—has produced a several-degree positive anomaly that traders are pricing in. Updated model runs and official observations through the morning will be the key near-term catalysts for any further tightening of probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$8,717Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent mild, moist southwesterly flow under widespread cloud cover and light rain or showers is holding overnight temperatures in Amsterdam near 16–17 °C on 29 August 2026.** Official forecasts from the Met Office and multiple numerical models (GFS-based) show the daily minimum occurring in the early-morning hours, with readings stabilizing around 16–17 °C after a mild preceding day. Dew points near 14–15 °C and moderate winds (15–25 km/h) limit radiational cooling, preventing a sharper drop despite the late-summer date. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 15–17 °C because small differences in model timing of showers, exact wind backing, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the recorded minimum by 1 °C. Historical climatology for late August at Schiphol averages closer to 12–13 °C, but the current synoptic pattern—persistent Atlantic advection—has produced a several-degree positive anomaly that traders are pricing in. Updated model runs and official observations through the morning will be the key near-term catalysts for any further tightening of probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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