Current numerical weather models, including those from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles like ECMWF, project clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and radiative cooling overnight for Ankara on September 3, supporting minimum temperatures near 16°C—close to the early-September climatological average low of 14–16°C at 870 m elevation. High pressure and low humidity favor efficient surface heat loss after daytime highs of 29–30°C, though model spread introduces uncertainty in the exact overnight minimum. Trader-implied odds reflect this baseline with elevated probability on 14°C or below, alongside significant weight on 15–18°C bins, as small shifts in cloud cover, wind, or dew point could alter the low by 1–2°C before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Ankara on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on September 3?
24°C or higher 59%
18°C 49%
14°C or below 48%
15°C 27%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
14°C or below
48%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
26%
18°C
49%
19°C
20%
20°C
20%
21°C
3%
22°C
7%
23°C
7%
24°C or higher
59%
24°C or higher 59%
18°C 49%
14°C or below 48%
15°C 27%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Wol.
48%
15°C
$0 Wol.
27%
16°C
$0 Wol.
27%
17°C
$0 Wol.
26%
18°C
$5 Wol.
49%
19°C
$5 Wol.
20%
20°C
$5 Wol.
20%
21°C
$5 Wol.
3%
22°C
$5 Wol.
7%
23°C
$5 Wol.
7%
24°C or higher
$5 Wol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models, including those from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles like ECMWF, project clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and radiative cooling overnight for Ankara on September 3, supporting minimum temperatures near 16°C—close to the early-September climatological average low of 14–16°C at 870 m elevation. High pressure and low humidity favor efficient surface heat loss after daytime highs of 29–30°C, though model spread introduces uncertainty in the exact overnight minimum. Trader-implied odds reflect this baseline with elevated probability on 14°C or below, alongside significant weight on 15–18°C bins, as small shifts in cloud cover, wind, or dew point could alter the low by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$35Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models, including those from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles like ECMWF, project clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and radiative cooling overnight for Ankara on September 3, supporting minimum temperatures near 16°C—close to the early-September climatological average low of 14–16°C at 870 m elevation. High pressure and low humidity favor efficient surface heat loss after daytime highs of 29–30°C, though model spread introduces uncertainty in the exact overnight minimum. Trader-implied odds reflect this baseline with elevated probability on 14°C or below, alongside significant weight on 15–18°C bins, as small shifts in cloud cover, wind, or dew point could alter the low by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$35Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models, including those from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles like ECMWF, project clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and radiative cooling overnight for Ankara on September 3, supporting minimum temperatures near 16°C—close to the early-September climatological average low of 14–16°C at 870 m elevation. High pressure and low humidity favor efficient surface heat loss after daytime highs of 29–30°C, though model spread introduces uncertainty in the exact overnight minimum. Trader-implied odds reflect this baseline with elevated probability on 14°C or below, alongside significant weight on 15–18°C bins, as small shifts in cloud cover, wind, or dew point could alter the low by 1–2°C before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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