Current forecasts from global models including ECMWF runs show Ankara under high pressure with clear skies and light northeast winds through September 4, supporting overnight radiative cooling to a minimum near 16–17°C. This reflects a modest warm anomaly relative to the September climatological low of roughly 12–14°C, driven by persistent subsidence and minimal cloud cover that limits heat retention overnight. Key variables differentiating the tightly bunched 12–18°C outcomes include subtle differences in boundary-layer humidity, exact wind speeds near dawn, and any late-model adjustments to cloud or frontal timing, all of which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh the stable short-range consensus against historical variability and the potential for minor forecast revisions before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Ankara on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on September 4?
12°C 88%
13°C 88%
14°C 88%
15°C 88%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 4, 2026
11°C or below
69%
12°C
88%
13°C
88%
14°C
88%
15°C
88%
16°C
88%
17°C
88%
18°C
2%
19°C
21%
20°C
20%
21°C or higher
59%
12°C 88%
13°C 88%
14°C 88%
15°C 88%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 4, 2026
11°C or below
$0 Wol.
69%
12°C
$0 Wol.
88%
13°C
$0 Wol.
88%
14°C
$0 Wol.
88%
15°C
$0 Wol.
88%
16°C
$0 Wol.
88%
17°C
$0 Wol.
88%
18°C
$0 Wol.
2%
19°C
$0 Wol.
21%
20°C
$0 Wol.
20%
21°C or higher
$0 Wol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from global models including ECMWF runs show Ankara under high pressure with clear skies and light northeast winds through September 4, supporting overnight radiative cooling to a minimum near 16–17°C. This reflects a modest warm anomaly relative to the September climatological low of roughly 12–14°C, driven by persistent subsidence and minimal cloud cover that limits heat retention overnight. Key variables differentiating the tightly bunched 12–18°C outcomes include subtle differences in boundary-layer humidity, exact wind speeds near dawn, and any late-model adjustments to cloud or frontal timing, all of which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh the stable short-range consensus against historical variability and the potential for minor forecast revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from global models including ECMWF runs show Ankara under high pressure with clear skies and light northeast winds through September 4, supporting overnight radiative cooling to a minimum near 16–17°C. This reflects a modest warm anomaly relative to the September climatological low of roughly 12–14°C, driven by persistent subsidence and minimal cloud cover that limits heat retention overnight. Key variables differentiating the tightly bunched 12–18°C outcomes include subtle differences in boundary-layer humidity, exact wind speeds near dawn, and any late-model adjustments to cloud or frontal timing, all of which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh the stable short-range consensus against historical variability and the potential for minor forecast revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from global models including ECMWF runs show Ankara under high pressure with clear skies and light northeast winds through September 4, supporting overnight radiative cooling to a minimum near 16–17°C. This reflects a modest warm anomaly relative to the September climatological low of roughly 12–14°C, driven by persistent subsidence and minimal cloud cover that limits heat retention overnight. Key variables differentiating the tightly bunched 12–18°C outcomes include subtle differences in boundary-layer humidity, exact wind speeds near dawn, and any late-model adjustments to cloud or frontal timing, all of which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh the stable short-range consensus against historical variability and the potential for minor forecast revisions before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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