**Trader consensus heavily favors a 20°C low for Chengdu on September 9, 2026, reflecting model agreement on a mild overnight minimum amid widespread rain and cloud cover.** Persistent precipitation and high humidity from a moist air mass have limited radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping sharply in this subtropical basin setting. Official guidance and ensemble forecasts point to lows clustering around 17–20°C, with 20°C aligning closely with the upper end of expected ranges given light winds and overcast skies. Historical September climatology shows typical overnight minima near 18–20°C, providing additional context for the positioning. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum reported by Chinese meteorological authorities; any unexpected clearing overnight could allow a dip toward 17°C or below, though current conditions make that scenario less probable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
20°C 98%
19°C 20%
17°C 1.0%
18°C 1.0%
$1,644 Wol.
$1,644 Wol.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
20°C 98%
19°C 20%
17°C 1.0%
18°C 1.0%
$1,644 Wol.
$1,644 Wol.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
**Trader consensus heavily favors a 20°C low for Chengdu on September 9, 2026, reflecting model agreement on a mild overnight minimum amid widespread rain and cloud cover.** Persistent precipitation and high humidity from a moist air mass have limited radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping sharply in this subtropical basin setting. Official guidance and ensemble forecasts point to lows clustering around 17–20°C, with 20°C aligning closely with the upper end of expected ranges given light winds and overcast skies. Historical September climatology shows typical overnight minima near 18–20°C, providing additional context for the positioning. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum reported by Chinese meteorological authorities; any unexpected clearing overnight could allow a dip toward 17°C or below, though current conditions make that scenario less probable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania