**Forecast consensus points to a minimum temperature near 16–19°C for Istanbul on September 18, shaped by northeasterly flow and moderate cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling.** Recent model runs from sources like the GFS and ECMWF show stable conditions with light winds (3–7 m/s) and dew points around 14–16°C, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-September where average lows hover near 17°C. The market’s near-even split between 13°C or below (50%) and 23°C or higher (49%) reflects trader focus on residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late timing shifts in high pressure or moisture advection from the Black Sea. Coastal maritime effects and the urban heat island further narrow the plausible range, keeping extremes less likely unless a sharper frontal passage develops overnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 18?
13°C or below 99%
23°C or higher 98%
14°C 40%
15°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
13°C or below
99%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
40%
18°C
40%
19°C
40%
20°C
40%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C or higher
98%
13°C or below 99%
23°C or higher 98%
14°C 40%
15°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
13°C or below
$0 Wol.
99%
14°C
$0 Wol.
40%
15°C
$0 Wol.
40%
16°C
$0 Wol.
40%
17°C
$0 Wol.
40%
18°C
$0 Wol.
40%
19°C
$0 Wol.
40%
20°C
$0 Wol.
40%
21°C
$0 Wol.
40%
22°C
$0 Wol.
40%
23°C or higher
$0 Wol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus points to a minimum temperature near 16–19°C for Istanbul on September 18, shaped by northeasterly flow and moderate cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling.** Recent model runs from sources like the GFS and ECMWF show stable conditions with light winds (3–7 m/s) and dew points around 14–16°C, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-September where average lows hover near 17°C. The market’s near-even split between 13°C or below (50%) and 23°C or higher (49%) reflects trader focus on residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late timing shifts in high pressure or moisture advection from the Black Sea. Coastal maritime effects and the urban heat island further narrow the plausible range, keeping extremes less likely unless a sharper frontal passage develops overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus points to a minimum temperature near 16–19°C for Istanbul on September 18, shaped by northeasterly flow and moderate cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling.** Recent model runs from sources like the GFS and ECMWF show stable conditions with light winds (3–7 m/s) and dew points around 14–16°C, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-September where average lows hover near 17°C. The market’s near-even split between 13°C or below (50%) and 23°C or higher (49%) reflects trader focus on residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late timing shifts in high pressure or moisture advection from the Black Sea. Coastal maritime effects and the urban heat island further narrow the plausible range, keeping extremes less likely unless a sharper frontal passage develops overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus points to a minimum temperature near 16–19°C for Istanbul on September 18, shaped by northeasterly flow and moderate cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling.** Recent model runs from sources like the GFS and ECMWF show stable conditions with light winds (3–7 m/s) and dew points around 14–16°C, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-September where average lows hover near 17°C. The market’s near-even split between 13°C or below (50%) and 23°C or higher (49%) reflects trader focus on residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late timing shifts in high pressure or moisture advection from the Black Sea. Coastal maritime effects and the urban heat island further narrow the plausible range, keeping extremes less likely unless a sharper frontal passage develops overnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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