Current forecast consensus from the Met Office and European models places London’s minimum temperature on September 19 near 16–17 °C, with 17 °C holding the highest implied probability. A building high-pressure ridge and mild southwesterly flow are limiting overnight radiative cooling, while increased cloud cover and fresh winds reduce the diurnal range. Historical September minima in the capital average around 11–13 °C, so the current pattern represents above-normal warmth. Model guidance shows only modest spread in low temperatures, with the main uncertainty tied to exact cloud timing and wind speeds overnight. Updated runs ahead of the 19th will refine whether the low settles at 16 °C or edges toward 18 °C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in London on September 19?
17°C 53%
18°C 25%
16°C 25%
14°C 6%
12°C or below
3%
13°C
3%
14°C
6%
15°C
6%
16°C
25%
17°C
53%
18°C
25%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
2%
17°C 53%
18°C 25%
16°C 25%
14°C 6%
12°C or below
3%
13°C
3%
14°C
6%
15°C
6%
16°C
25%
17°C
53%
18°C
25%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from the Met Office and European models places London’s minimum temperature on September 19 near 16–17 °C, with 17 °C holding the highest implied probability. A building high-pressure ridge and mild southwesterly flow are limiting overnight radiative cooling, while increased cloud cover and fresh winds reduce the diurnal range. Historical September minima in the capital average around 11–13 °C, so the current pattern represents above-normal warmth. Model guidance shows only modest spread in low temperatures, with the main uncertainty tied to exact cloud timing and wind speeds overnight. Updated runs ahead of the 19th will refine whether the low settles at 16 °C or edges toward 18 °C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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