India Meteorological Department block-level forecasts for Lucknow district consistently project a minimum temperature of 27°C on September 20, aligning closely with the market's leading 26°C outcome at 48% implied probability. High humidity levels near 80%, persistent cloud cover, and light winds are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling in the post-monsoon transition period, when typical minima range 25–27°C. Recent observations from September 18–19 recorded overnight lows of 26°C under similar conditions. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance and climatological baselines against potential model variability in steering patterns or localized rainfall that could nudge readings slightly lower or higher.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 20?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on September 20?
21°C or below 54%
31°C or higher 54%
26°C 48%
25°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 20, 2026
21°C or below
54%
22°C
15%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
40%
26°C
48%
27°C
21%
28°C
39%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
54%
21°C or below 54%
31°C or higher 54%
26°C 48%
25°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 20, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Wol.
54%
22°C
$0 Wol.
15%
23°C
$0 Wol.
39%
24°C
$0 Wol.
39%
25°C
$0 Wol.
40%
26°C
$28 Wol.
48%
27°C
$0 Wol.
21%
28°C
$0 Wol.
39%
29°C
$0 Wol.
1%
30°C
$0 Wol.
1%
31°C or higher
$0 Wol.
54%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.India Meteorological Department block-level forecasts for Lucknow district consistently project a minimum temperature of 27°C on September 20, aligning closely with the market's leading 26°C outcome at 48% implied probability. High humidity levels near 80%, persistent cloud cover, and light winds are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling in the post-monsoon transition period, when typical minima range 25–27°C. Recent observations from September 18–19 recorded overnight lows of 26°C under similar conditions. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance and climatological baselines against potential model variability in steering patterns or localized rainfall that could nudge readings slightly lower or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$28Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.India Meteorological Department block-level forecasts for Lucknow district consistently project a minimum temperature of 27°C on September 20, aligning closely with the market's leading 26°C outcome at 48% implied probability. High humidity levels near 80%, persistent cloud cover, and light winds are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling in the post-monsoon transition period, when typical minima range 25–27°C. Recent observations from September 18–19 recorded overnight lows of 26°C under similar conditions. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance and climatological baselines against potential model variability in steering patterns or localized rainfall that could nudge readings slightly lower or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$28Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department block-level forecasts for Lucknow district consistently project a minimum temperature of 27°C on September 20, aligning closely with the market's leading 26°C outcome at 48% implied probability. High humidity levels near 80%, persistent cloud cover, and light winds are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling in the post-monsoon transition period, when typical minima range 25–27°C. Recent observations from September 18–19 recorded overnight lows of 26°C under similar conditions. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance and climatological baselines against potential model variability in steering patterns or localized rainfall that could nudge readings slightly lower or higher.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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